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Serie A

Referee: Paolo Valeri

Palermo

T U T T T

1–3

Full-time

Cagliari

U S T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Palermo Cagliari

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 9%

17%

Points per game

0,2

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

83%

33%

Both score Ø 67%

83%

50%

Average goals

3,8

2,3

Scored

0,8

0,7

Conceded

3,0

1,7

Goal diff per game

-2,2

-1,0

This season — Serie A · 29/29 matches

Win Ø 21%

10%

31%

Points per game

0,5

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 57%

52%

62%

Both score Ø 64%

66%

62%

Average goals

2,9

3,2

Scored

0,8

1,2

Conceded

2,1

2,0

Goal diff per game

-1,2

-0,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

54% Possession 46%

15 Shots 17

5 Shots on target 9

3 Blocked shots 2

6 Goalkeeper saves 4

13 Corners 4

2 Offside 0

13 Free kicks against 15

3 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Palermo 18. · Cagliari 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	29	24	1	4	+40	73
2	Roma	30	22	2	6	+40	68
3	Napoli	29	19	6	4	+36	63
4	Lazio	30	18	6	6	+21	60
5	Inter	29	17	4	8	+24	55
6	Atalanta	29	17	4	8	+13	55
7	Milan	29	16	5	8	+10	53
8	Fiorentina	29	13	9	7	+9	48
9	Torino	30	10	11	9	+6	41
10	Sampdoria	29	11	8	10	+1	41
11	Chievo	29	11	5	13	-7	38
12	Udinese	30	10	7	13	-2	37
13	Bologna	29	9	7	13	-13	34
14	Cagliari	29	9	5	15	-22	32
15	Sassuolo	30	9	4	17	-11	31
16	Genoa	29	7	8	14	-13	29
17	Empoli	30	5	7	18	-31	22
18	Palermo	29	3	6	20	-36	15
19	Crotone	29	3	5	21	-28	14
20	Pescara	29	2	6	21	-37	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	15	15	0	0	+30	45
2	Roma	15	14	0	1	+31	42
3	Napoli	15	10	3	2	+17	33
4	Inter	14	10	2	2	+22	32
5	Lazio	15	10	2	3	+14	32
6	Milan	15	10	2	3	+9	32
7	Atalanta	14	10	1	3	+11	31
8	Torino	15	8	6	1	+15	30
9	Fiorentina	14	7	7	0	+9	28
10	Sampdoria	15	8	4	3	+8	28
11	Cagliari	14	7	3	4	-2	24
12	Chievo	15	6	4	5	+0	22
13	Udinese	15	6	3	6	+3	21
14	Bologna	15	6	2	7	-3	20
15	Genoa	14	4	6	4	+4	18
16	Sassuolo	15	5	1	9	-6	16
17	Empoli	15	4	3	8	-12	15
18	Crotone	15	3	3	9	-8	12
19	Pescara	14	1	4	9	-15	7
20	Palermo	14	1	2	11	-19	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Napoli	14	9	3	2	+19	30
2	Juventus	14	9	1	4	+10	28
3	Lazio	15	8	4	3	+7	28
4	Roma	15	8	2	5	+9	26
5	Atalanta	15	7	3	5	+2	24
6	Inter	15	7	2	6	+2	23
7	Milan	14	6	3	5	+1	21
8	Fiorentina	15	6	2	7	+0	20
9	Udinese	15	4	4	7	-5	16
10	Chievo	14	5	1	8	-7	16
11	Sassuolo	15	4	3	8	-5	15
12	Bologna	14	3	5	6	-10	14
13	Sampdoria	14	3	4	7	-7	13
14	Torino	15	2	5	8	-9	11
15	Genoa	15	3	2	10	-17	11
16	Palermo	15	2	4	9	-17	10
17	Cagliari	15	2	2	11	-20	8
18	Empoli	15	1	4	10	-19	7
19	Pescara	15	1	2	12	-22	5
20	Crotone	14	0	2	12	-20	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.