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Serie A
Referee: Gianpaolo Calvarese
Chievo
T S T S T
1–2
Full-time
Crotone
T T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Chievo Crotone
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
50%
0%
Points per game
1,5
0,2
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
83%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
67%
17%
Average goals
3,8
1,7
Scored
2,0
0,2
Conceded
1,8
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-1,3
This season — Serie A · 29/29 matches
Win Ø 24%
38%
10%
Points per game
1,3
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
52%
48%
Both score Ø 50%
52%
48%
Average goals
2,6
2,4
Scored
1,2
0,7
Conceded
1,4
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-1,0
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

58% Possession 42%
16 Shots 16
4 Shots on target 7
3 Blocked shots 4
5 Goalkeeper saves 3
2 Corners 8
2 Offside 4
9 Free kicks against 9
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Chievo 11. · Crotone 19.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Juventus 29 24 1 4 +40 73
2 Roma 30 22 2 6 +40 68
3 Napoli 29 19 6 4 +36 63
4 Lazio 30 18 6 6 +21 60
5 Inter 29 17 4 8 +24 55
6 Atalanta 29 17 4 8 +13 55
7 Milan 29 16 5 8 +10 53
8 Fiorentina 29 13 9 7 +9 48
9 Torino 30 10 11 9 +6 41
10 Sampdoria 29 11 8 10 +1 41
11 Chievo 29 11 5 13 -7 38
12 Udinese 30 10 7 13 -2 37
13 Bologna 29 9 7 13 -13 34
14 Cagliari 29 9 5 15 -22 32
15 Sassuolo 30 9 4 17 -11 31
16 Genoa 29 7 8 14 -13 29
17 Empoli 30 5 7 18 -31 22
18 Palermo 29 3 6 20 -36 15
19 Crotone 29 3 5 21 -28 14
20 Pescara 29 2 6 21 -37 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

30. Oct -16 Crotone – Chievo 2–0

Match report

Chievo Crotone
Half-time 0–1
51′
G. Ferrari 0–1
L. Crisetig
1–1 S. Pellissier
L. Castro
57′
R. Meggiorini 🔁
↦ V. Birsa
58′
60′
🔁 A. Nalini
↦ M. Rohdén
N. Spolli 🔁
↦ A. Gamberini
64′
65′
🟨 Federico Ceccherini
Lucas Castro 🟨
68′
74′
🟨 Aleandro Rosi
80′
🔁 A. Barberis
↦ L. Capezzi
82′
D. Falcinelli 1–2
A. Stoian
S. Gakpé 🔁
↦ R. Inglese
83′
87′
🔁 M. Sampirisi
↦ D. Falcinelli
Ivan Radovanović 🟨
90′
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Chievo

4-3-1-2
90 A. Seculin G
5 A. Gamberini D
3 D. Dainelli D
21 N. Frey D
29 F. Cacciatore D
23 V. Birsa M
1 J. de Guzmán M
8 I. Radovanović M
19 L. Castro M
31 S. Pellissier F
45 R. Inglese F
Bench (10)
69 R. Meggiorini
2 N. Spolli
7 S. Gakpé
70 S. Sorrentino
12 B. Cesar
22 F. Pavoni
97 F. Depaoli
28 S. Bastien
13 M. Izco
80 S. Kiyine

Coach: R. Maran

Crotone

4-4-2
1 A. Cordaz G
22 A. Rosi M
17 F. Ceccherini D
13 G. Ferrari D
8 L. Crisetig M
87 B. Martella D
28 L. Capezzi M
6 M. Rohdén M
12 A. Stoian M
11 D. Falcinelli F
29 M. Trotta F
Bench (12)
9 A. Nalini
18 A. Barberis
31 M. Sampirisi
5 M. Festa
24 A. Tonev
3 Claiton
20 A. Kotnik
42 C. Suljic
99 S. Nwankwo
27 B. Acosty
33 A. Viscovo
23 N. Dussenne

Coach: D. Nicola

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Gianpaolo Calvarese · 67 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
19,9 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.