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Eredivisie

Referee: Bjorn Kuipers

Ajax

S S U S U

2–1

Full-time

Feyenoord

S S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ajax Feyenoord

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 75%

67%

83%

Points per game

2,3

2,5

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,5

2,8

Scored

2,0

Conceded

0,5

0,8

Goal diff per game

+1,5

+1,2

This season — Eredivisie · 27/27 matches

Win Ø 76%

70%

81%

Points per game

2,3

2,6

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

44%

56%

Both score Ø 43%

44%

41%

Average goals

2,7

3,1

Scored

2,1

2,5

Conceded

0,6

Goal diff per game

+1,4

+1,9

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

56% Possession 44%

24 Shots 7

8 Shots on target 4

6 Blocked shots 1

3 Goalkeeper saves 6

6 Corners 1

1 Offside 4

17 Free kicks against 16

1 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Ajax 3. · Feyenoord 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Feyenoord	27	22	3	2	+51	69
2	PSV Eindhoven	28	19	7	2	+36	64
3	Ajax	27	19	6	2	+39	63
4	Utrecht	25	12	7	6	+10	43
5	Vitesse	28	12	6	10	+9	42
6	Twente	27	11	8	8	+3	41
7	AZ Alkmaar	25	9	11	5	+8	38
8	Heerenveen	26	10	6	10	+7	36
9	Heracles	28	9	7	12	-6	34
10	Willem II	28	8	9	11	-7	33
11	Zwolle	28	8	7	13	-20	31
12	Sparta Rotterdam	28	7	7	14	-15	28
13	Nijmegen	28	7	7	14	-20	28
14	Groningen	26	5	11	10	-6	26
15	Excelsior	28	5	10	13	-18	25
16	Roda	27	4	11	12	-22	23
17	Den Haag	27	6	4	17	-27	22
18	Go Ahead Eagles	27	5	5	17	-22	20

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Feyenoord	14	12	2	0	+33	38
2	PSV Eindhoven	14	10	3	1	+17	33
3	Ajax	13	10	2	1	+24	32
4	Heracles	14	7	3	4	+9	24
5	Twente	13	7	3	3	+6	24
6	Vitesse	14	7	2	5	+7	23
7	Heerenveen	13	6	4	3	+8	22
8	Utrecht	12	6	3	3	+6	21
9	AZ Alkmaar	13	4	7	2	+6	19
10	Sparta Rotterdam	14	5	4	5	+1	19
11	Nijmegen	14	5	4	5	-1	19
12	Excelsior	14	4	5	5	+0	17
13	Willem II	14	4	5	5	-4	17
14	Zwolle	14	4	4	6	-9	16
15	Roda	14	3	5	6	-5	14
16	Den Haag	13	4	2	7	-6	14
17	Groningen	13	2	7	4	-7	13
18	Go Ahead Eagles	14	4	1	9	-9	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	14	9	4	1	+19	31
2	Feyenoord	13	10	1	2	+18	31
3	Ajax	14	9	4	1	+15	31
4	Utrecht	13	6	4	3	+4	22
5	Vitesse	14	5	4	5	+2	19
6	AZ Alkmaar	12	5	4	3	+2	19
7	Twente	14	4	5	5	-3	17
8	Willem II	14	4	4	6	-3	16
9	Zwolle	14	4	3	7	-11	15
10	Heerenveen	13	4	2	7	-1	14
11	Groningen	13	3	4	6	+1	13
12	Heracles	14	2	4	8	-15	10
13	Sparta Rotterdam	14	2	3	9	-16	9
14	Roda	13	1	6	6	-17	9
15	Nijmegen	14	2	3	9	-19	9
16	Excelsior	14	1	5	8	-18	8
17	Den Haag	14	2	2	10	-21	8
18	Go Ahead Eagles	13	1	4	8	-13	7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.