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Serie A
Referee: Marco Guida
Juventus
T T
1–1
Full-time
Chievo
S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Juventus Chievo
Last 6 — all competitions · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 50%
0%
100%
Points per game
0,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
50%
100%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,0
4,0
Scored
0,5
3,5
Conceded
1,5
0,5
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+3,0
This season — Serie A · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 50%
0%
100%
Points per game
0,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
50%
100%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,0
4,0
Scored
0,5
3,5
Conceded
1,5
0,5
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+3,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

69% Possession 31%
26 Shots 6
7 Shots on target 3
5 Blocked shots 0
2 Goalkeeper saves 5
5 Corners 3
1 Offside 1
0 Free kicks against 0
3 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Juventus 17. · Chievo 2. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Roma 3 2 1 0 +3 7
2 Chievo 2 2 0 0 +6 6
3 Torino 2 2 0 0 +3 6
4 Sassuolo 2 2 0 0 +2 6
5 Inter 2 2 0 0 +2 6
6 Palermo 2 2 0 0 +2 6
7 Fiorentina 3 2 0 1 +1 6
8 Sampdoria 2 1 1 0 +3 4
9 Atalanta 2 1 0 1 +1 3
10 Genoa 3 1 0 2 +0 3
11 Udinese 2 1 0 1 +0 3
12 Milan 2 1 0 1 -1 3
13 Lazio 2 1 0 1 -3 3
14 Napoli 2 0 1 1 -1 1
15 Verona 2 0 1 1 -2 1
16 Bologna 2 0 0 2 -2 0
17 Juventus 2 0 0 2 -2 0
18 Empoli 2 0 0 2 -3 0
19 Carpi 2 0 0 2 -4 0
20 Frosinone 3 0 0 3 -5 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Juventus Chievo
5′
⚽ P. Hetemaj 0–1
21′
🟨 Lucas Castro
Hernanes 🟨
35′
Half-time 0–1
P. Pogba 🔁
↦ C. Marchisio
46′
Alex Sandro 🟨
49′
50′
🟨 Valter Birsa
58′
🔁 D. Dainelli
↦ A. Gamberini
J. Cuadrado 🔁
↦ S. Sturaro
65′
66′
🔁 G. Pinzi
↦ R. Meggiorini
M. Mandžukić 🔁
↦ Álvaro Morata
73′
73′
🔁 S. Pepe
↦ V. Birsa
78′
🟨 Boštjan Cesar
81′
🟨 Simone Pepe
1–1 P. Dybala ⚽
83′
87′
🟨 Albano Bizzarri
Juan Cuadrado 🟨
90′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Juventus

1 G. Buffon
15 A. Barzagli D
19 L. Bonucci D
4 M. Cáceres D
12 Alex Sandro D
11 Hernanes M
8 C. Marchisio M
37 R. Pereyra M
27 S. Sturaro M
9 Álvaro Morata F
21 P. Dybala F
Bench (11)
10 P. Pogba
16 J. Cuadrado
17 M. Mandžukić
3 G. Chiellini
7 S. Zaza
18 M. Lemina
20 S. Padoin
24 D. Rugani
25 Neto
26 S. Lichtsteiner
38 E. Audero

Chievo

1 A. Bizzarri G
12 B. Cesar D
5 A. Gamberini D
18 M. Gobbi D
21 N. Frey D
23 V. Birsa M
4 N. Rigoni M
56 P. Hetemaj M
19 L. Castro M
43 A. Paloschi F
69 R. Meggiorini F
Bench (12)
3 D. Dainelli
6 G. Pinzi
7 S. Pepe
10 A. Christiansen
11 F. Mattiello
20 G. Sardo
29 F. Cacciatore
31 S. Pellissier
32 W. Bressan
40 P. M'Poku
45 R. Inglese
90 A. Seculin

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Marco Guida · 80 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,0 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
21,4 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.