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Serie A

Referee: Fabio Maresca

Genoa

S T T T T

2–2

Full-time

Lazio

S S U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Genoa Lazio

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

17%

67%

Points per game

0,7

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 25%

17%

33%

Average goals

2,3

2,2

Scored

0,5

1,3

Conceded

1,8

0,8

Goal diff per game

-1,3

+0,5

This season — Serie A · 31/31 matches

Win Ø 41%

23%

58%

Points per game

0,9

1,9

Over 2.5 Ø 49%

45%

52%

Both score Ø 46%

39%

52%

Average goals

2,6

2,8

Scored

1,0

1,7

Conceded

1,6

1,1

Goal diff per game

-0,7

+0,6

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

42% Possession 58%

13 Shots 21

6 Shots on target 6

5 Blocked shots 8

4 Goalkeeper saves 4

7 Corners 7

0 Offside 3

16 Free kicks against 13

4 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Genoa 16. · Lazio 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	31	25	2	4	+42	77
2	Roma	31	23	2	6	+43	71
3	Napoli	31	20	7	4	+39	67
4	Lazio	31	18	6	7	+18	60
5	Atalanta	31	18	5	8	+18	59
6	Milan	32	17	7	8	+14	58
7	Inter	32	17	5	10	+22	56
8	Fiorentina	31	14	10	7	+10	52
9	Sampdoria	31	12	9	10	+2	45
10	Torino	31	11	11	9	+7	44
11	Udinese	31	11	7	13	+1	40
12	Chievo	31	11	5	15	-10	38
13	Cagliari	31	10	5	16	-21	35
14	Bologna	31	9	7	15	-17	34
15	Sassuolo	31	9	5	17	-11	32
16	Genoa	31	7	8	16	-21	29
17	Empoli	31	5	8	18	-31	23
18	Crotone	31	5	5	21	-26	20
19	Palermo	31	3	6	22	-42	15
20	Pescara	31	2	8	21	-37	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	16	16	0	0	+32	48
2	Roma	15	14	0	1	+31	42
3	Milan	16	11	2	3	+13	35
4	Napoli	16	10	4	2	+17	34
5	Inter	16	10	3	3	+21	33
6	Lazio	16	10	2	4	+11	32
7	Atalanta	15	10	2	3	+11	32
8	Fiorentina	15	8	7	0	+10	31
9	Torino	15	8	6	1	+15	30
10	Sampdoria	16	8	5	3	+8	29
11	Udinese	16	7	3	6	+6	24
12	Cagliari	15	7	3	5	-3	24
13	Chievo	16	6	4	6	-1	22
14	Bologna	16	6	2	8	-6	20
15	Genoa	15	4	6	5	-1	18
16	Sassuolo	15	5	1	9	-6	16
17	Empoli	16	4	4	8	-12	16
18	Crotone	16	4	3	9	-7	15
19	Pescara	15	1	5	9	-15	8
20	Palermo	15	1	2	12	-21	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Napoli	15	10	3	2	+22	33
2	Roma	16	9	2	5	+12	29
3	Juventus	15	9	2	4	+10	29
4	Lazio	15	8	4	3	+7	28
5	Atalanta	16	8	3	5	+7	27
6	Milan	16	6	5	5	+1	23
7	Inter	16	7	2	7	+1	23
8	Fiorentina	16	6	3	7	+0	21
9	Sassuolo	16	4	4	8	-5	16
10	Udinese	15	4	4	7	-5	16
11	Sampdoria	15	4	4	7	-6	16
12	Chievo	15	5	1	9	-9	16
13	Torino	16	3	5	8	-8	14
14	Bologna	15	3	5	7	-11	14
15	Cagliari	16	3	2	11	-18	11
16	Genoa	16	3	2	11	-20	11
17	Palermo	16	2	4	10	-21	10
18	Empoli	15	1	4	10	-19	7
19	Pescara	16	1	3	12	-22	6
20	Crotone	15	1	2	12	-19	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.