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Bundesliga
Referee: Robert Hartmann
Dortmund
T S U S T
3–1
Full-time
Ein Frankfurt
T U U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Dortmund Ein Frankfurt
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
50%
0%
Points per game
1,7
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,7
1,8
Scored
2,2
0,5
Conceded
1,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-0,8
This season — Bundesliga · 28/28 matches
Win Ø 43%
50%
36%
Points per game
1,8
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 52%
61%
43%
Both score Ø 47%
64%
29%
Average goals
3,3
2,1
Scored
2,1
1,0
Conceded
1,1
1,1
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

64% Possession 36%
15 Shots 9
7 Shots on target 2
4 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
4 Corners 1
5 Offside 6
12 Free kicks against 23
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Dortmund 4. · Ein Frankfurt 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 28 21 5 2 +56 68
2 RB Leipzig 28 18 4 6 +21 58
3 Hoffenheim 28 13 12 3 +23 51
4 Dortmund 28 14 8 6 +27 50
5 Hertha 28 13 4 11 +3 43
6 Freiburg 28 12 5 11 -11 41
7 FC Koln 28 10 10 8 +7 40
8 M'gladbach 28 11 6 11 -2 39
9 Ein Frankfurt 28 10 8 10 -2 38
10 Schalke 04 28 10 7 11 +5 37
11 Werder Bremen 28 10 6 12 -4 36
12 Leverkusen 28 10 5 13 -2 35
13 Hamburg 28 9 6 13 -23 33
14 Wolfsburg 28 8 6 14 -15 30
15 Mainz 28 8 5 15 -11 29
16 Augsburg 28 7 8 13 -19 29
17 FC Ingolstadt 04 28 8 4 16 -16 28
18 Darmstadt 28 4 3 21 -37 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Dortmund Ein Frankfurt
1–0 M. Reus
C. Pulisic
3′
29′
M. Fabián 1–1
B. Oczipka
2–1 S. Papastathopoulos
S. Bender
34′
Half-time 2–1
M. Ginter 🔁
↦ S. Bender
46′
O. Dembélé 🔁
↦ M. Reus
46′
56′
🔁 A. Rebić
↦ A. Ordóñez
71′
🔁 D. Blum
↦ M. Wolf
G. Castro 🔁
↦ J. Weigl
77′
81′
🔁 A. Barkok
↦ B. Hrgota
3–1 P. Aubameyang
O. Dembélé
86′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Dortmund

4-2-3-1
38 R. Bürki G
26 Ł. Piszczek D
25 S. Papastathopoulos D
29 M. Schmelzer D
8 N. Şahin M
6 S. Bender D
23 S. Kagawa M
33 J. Weigl M
22 C. Pulisic M
17 P. Aubameyang F
11 M. Reus M
Bench (7)
28 M. Ginter
7 O. Dembélé
27 G. Castro
37 E. Durm
13 Raphaël Guerreiro
14 A. Isak
1 R. Weidenfeller

Coach: T. Tuchel

Ein Frankfurt

3-4-2-1
1 L. Hradecky G
19 D. Abraham D
6 B. Oczipka M
22 T. Chandler M
29 A. Ordóñez D
5 Jesús Vallejo D
10 M. Fabián M
39 Omar Mascarell M
11 M. Gaćinović M
31 B. Hrgota F
24 M. Wolf M
Bench (7)
17 A. Rebić
7 D. Blum
28 A. Barkok
21 M. Stendera
3 G. Varela
34 L. Bätge
4 M. Russ

Coach: N. Kovač

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Robert Hartmann · 70 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.