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Serie A

Referee: Nicola Rizzoli

Lazio

S T S T

2–0

Full-time

Genoa

T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lazio Genoa

Last 6 — all competitions · 4/4 matches

Win Ø 38%

50%

25%

Points per game

1,5

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 38%

75%

Both score Ø 13%

25%

Average goals

3,5

1,5

Scored

1,0

0,5

Conceded

2,5

1,0

Goal diff per game

-1,5

-0,5

This season — Serie A · 4/4 matches

Win Ø 38%

50%

25%

Points per game

1,5

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 38%

75%

Both score Ø 13%

25%

Average goals

3,5

1,5

Scored

1,0

0,5

Conceded

2,5

1,0

Goal diff per game

-1,5

-0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

57% Possession 43%

10 Shots 10

3 Shots on target 3

2 Blocked shots 1

3 Goalkeeper saves 1

10 Corners 3

2 Offside 2

0 Free kicks against 0

4 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 2

The table before the match Lazio 10. · Genoa 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Inter	4	4	0	0	+4	12
2	Torino	4	3	1	0	+5	10
3	Fiorentina	4	3	0	1	+2	9
4	Milan	5	3	0	2	+0	9
5	Roma	4	2	2	0	+3	8
6	Sassuolo	4	2	2	0	+2	8
7	Chievo	4	2	1	1	+5	7
8	Sampdoria	4	2	1	1	+3	7
9	Palermo	4	2	1	1	+1	7
10	Lazio	4	2	0	2	-6	6
11	Napoli	4	1	2	1	+4	5
12	Atalanta	4	1	2	1	+1	5
13	Juventus	4	1	1	2	+0	4
14	Empoli	4	1	1	2	-2	4
15	Verona	4	0	3	1	-2	3
16	Genoa	4	1	0	3	-2	3
17	Bologna	4	1	0	3	-3	3
18	Udinese	5	1	0	4	-4	3
19	Carpi	4	0	1	3	-5	1
20	Frosinone	4	0	0	4	-6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sampdoria	2	2	0	0	+5	6
2	Torino	2	2	0	0	+4	6
3	Lazio	2	2	0	0	+3	6
4	Fiorentina	2	2	0	0	+3	6
5	Milan	2	2	0	0	+2	6
6	Inter	2	2	0	0	+2	6
7	Napoli	2	1	1	0	+5	4
8	Atalanta	2	1	1	0	+2	4
9	Sassuolo	2	1	1	0	+1	4
10	Roma	2	1	1	0	+1	4
11	Palermo	2	1	1	0	+1	4
12	Chievo	2	1	0	1	+3	3
13	Genoa	2	1	0	1	+0	3
14	Bologna	2	1	0	1	+0	3
15	Verona	2	0	2	0	+0	2
16	Juventus	2	0	1	1	-1	1
17	Empoli	2	0	1	1	-2	1
18	Carpi	2	0	0	2	-2	0
19	Udinese	3	0	0	3	-3	0
20	Frosinone	2	0	0	2	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Inter	2	2	0	0	+2	6
2	Chievo	2	1	1	0	+2	4
3	Roma	2	1	1	0	+2	4
4	Torino	2	1	1	0	+1	4
5	Sassuolo	2	1	1	0	+1	4
6	Juventus	2	1	0	1	+1	3
7	Empoli	2	1	0	1	+0	3
8	Palermo	2	1	0	1	+0	3
9	Fiorentina	2	1	0	1	-1	3
10	Udinese	2	1	0	1	-1	3
11	Milan	3	1	0	2	-2	3
12	Napoli	2	0	1	1	-1	1
13	Atalanta	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Sampdoria	2	0	1	1	-2	1
15	Verona	2	0	1	1	-2	1
16	Carpi	2	0	1	1	-3	1
17	Genoa	2	0	0	2	-2	0
18	Bologna	2	0	0	2	-3	0
19	Frosinone	2	0	0	2	-3	0
20	Lazio	2	0	0	2	-9	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.