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Serie A

Referee: Claudio Gavillucci

Sassuolo

T U S U S

2–2

Full-time

Fiorentina

S U T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sassuolo Fiorentina

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,3

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

83%

50%

Both score Ø 75%

100%

50%

Average goals

3,3

Scored

1,7

Conceded

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,0

This season — Serie A · 34/34 matches

Win Ø 38%

32%

44%

Points per game

1,1

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 62%

62%

Both score Ø 59%

62%

56%

Average goals

2,9

3,0

Scored

1,3

1,6

Conceded

1,6

1,4

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

47% Possession 53%

12 Shots 13

8 Shots on target 6

2 Blocked shots 1

3 Goalkeeper saves 6

10 Corners 6

6 Offside 2

16 Free kicks against 19

5 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Sassuolo 14. · Fiorentina 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	35	27	4	4	+48	85
2	Napoli	35	23	8	4	+45	77
3	Roma	34	24	3	7	+44	75
4	Lazio	34	20	7	7	+24	67
5	Atalanta	35	19	8	8	+19	65
6	Milan	34	17	8	9	+13	59
7	Inter	34	17	5	12	+20	56
8	Fiorentina	34	15	10	9	+8	55
9	Torino	35	12	14	9	+9	50
10	Sampdoria	34	12	10	12	+0	46
11	Udinese	35	12	8	15	-5	44
12	Chievo	34	12	5	17	-15	41
13	Cagliari	35	12	5	18	-19	41
14	Sassuolo	34	11	6	17	-8	39
15	Bologna	34	10	8	16	-14	38
16	Genoa	34	7	9	18	-26	30
17	Empoli	34	7	8	19	-31	29
18	Crotone	34	6	7	21	-25	25
19	Palermo	34	4	7	23	-44	19
20	Pescara	34	2	8	24	-43	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	18	17	1	0	+36	52
2	Roma	17	14	1	2	+29	43
3	Napoli	18	12	4	2	+22	40
4	Atalanta	17	11	3	3	+12	36
5	Lazio	17	11	2	4	+15	35
6	Milan	17	11	2	4	+12	35
7	Fiorentina	17	9	7	1	+10	34
8	Inter	17	10	3	4	+20	33
9	Torino	17	8	8	1	+15	32
10	Cagliari	17	9	3	5	+2	30
11	Sampdoria	17	8	5	4	+7	29
12	Udinese	18	8	4	6	+7	28
13	Bologna	17	7	2	8	-2	23
14	Chievo	17	6	4	7	-3	22
15	Sassuolo	17	6	2	9	-5	20
16	Genoa	17	4	7	6	-2	19
17	Crotone	17	4	4	9	-7	16
18	Empoli	17	4	4	9	-14	16
19	Palermo	17	2	3	12	-19	9
20	Pescara	17	1	5	11	-20	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Napoli	17	11	4	2	+23	37
2	Juventus	17	10	3	4	+12	33
3	Roma	17	10	2	5	+15	32
4	Lazio	17	9	5	3	+9	32
5	Atalanta	18	8	5	5	+7	29
6	Milan	17	6	6	5	+1	24
7	Inter	17	7	2	8	+0	23
8	Fiorentina	17	6	3	8	-2	21
9	Sassuolo	17	5	4	8	-3	19
10	Chievo	17	6	1	10	-12	19
11	Torino	18	4	6	8	-6	18
12	Sampdoria	17	4	5	8	-7	17
13	Udinese	17	4	4	9	-12	16
14	Bologna	17	3	6	8	-12	15
15	Empoli	17	3	4	10	-17	13
16	Cagliari	18	3	2	13	-21	11
17	Genoa	17	3	2	12	-24	11
18	Palermo	17	2	4	11	-25	10
19	Crotone	17	2	3	12	-18	9
20	Pescara	17	1	3	13	-23	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.