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Serie A

Referee: Luca J Pairetto

Cagliari

T S T S S

1–3

Full-time

Inter

U S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cagliari Inter

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

50%

67%

Points per game

1,5

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

83%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

3,0

2,8

Scored

1,3

1,8

Conceded

1,7

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,8

This season — Serie A · 13/13 matches

Win Ø 58%

38%

77%

Points per game

1,2

2,5

Over 2.5 Ø 54%

62%

46%

Both score Ø 46%

38%

54%

Average goals

2,5

2,6

Scored

0,9

1,9

Conceded

1,6

0,7

Goal diff per game

-0,7

+1,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

43% Possession 57%

15 Shots 10

4 Shots on target 4

6 Blocked shots 3

1 Goalkeeper saves 3

7 Corners 5

5 Offside 3

12 Free kicks against 15

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Cagliari 13. · Inter 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Napoli	13	11	2	0	+25	35
2	Inter	13	10	3	0	+16	33
3	Juventus	13	10	1	2	+23	31
4	Roma	12	10	0	2	+15	30
5	Lazio	12	9	1	2	+18	28
6	Sampdoria	13	8	2	3	+9	26
7	Bologna	14	6	2	6	+0	20
8	Chievo	14	5	5	4	-4	20
9	Milan	13	6	1	6	+1	19
10	Torino	13	4	6	3	-2	18
11	Fiorentina	13	5	2	6	+4	17
12	Atalanta	13	4	4	5	+1	16
13	Cagliari	13	5	0	8	-9	15
14	Udinese	12	4	0	8	-5	12
15	Crotone	13	3	3	7	-13	12
16	Sassuolo	14	3	2	9	-16	11
17	Spal	14	2	4	8	-11	10
18	Genoa	13	2	3	8	-8	9
19	Verona	14	2	3	9	-17	9
20	Benevento	13	0	0	13	-27	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Inter	7	6	1	0	+10	19
2	Sampdoria	6	6	0	0	+14	18
3	Juventus	7	6	0	1	+14	18
4	Napoli	6	5	1	0	+14	16
5	Roma	7	5	0	2	+5	15
6	Atalanta	7	4	2	1	+8	14
7	Chievo	7	3	2	2	-1	11
8	Lazio	5	3	1	1	+8	10
9	Fiorentina	6	3	1	2	+2	10
10	Milan	6	3	1	2	+0	10
11	Torino	6	2	3	1	+3	9
12	Udinese	7	3	0	4	-1	9
13	Cagliari	6	3	0	3	-1	9
14	Bologna	7	2	2	3	-1	8
15	Spal	7	2	2	3	-2	8
16	Crotone	7	2	2	3	-3	8
17	Verona	7	1	1	5	-11	4
18	Sassuolo	7	0	2	5	-8	2
19	Genoa	6	0	1	5	-7	1
20	Benevento	7	0	0	7	-15	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Napoli	7	6	1	0	+11	19
2	Lazio	7	6	0	1	+10	18
3	Roma	5	5	0	0	+10	15
4	Inter	6	4	2	0	+6	14
5	Juventus	6	4	1	1	+9	13
6	Bologna	7	4	0	3	+1	12
7	Milan	7	3	0	4	+1	9
8	Chievo	7	2	3	2	-3	9
9	Torino	7	2	3	2	-5	9
10	Sassuolo	7	3	0	4	-8	9
11	Genoa	7	2	2	3	-1	8
12	Sampdoria	7	2	2	3	-5	8
13	Fiorentina	7	2	1	4	+2	7
14	Cagliari	7	2	0	5	-8	6
15	Verona	7	1	2	4	-6	5
16	Crotone	6	1	1	4	-10	4
17	Udinese	5	1	0	4	-4	3
18	Atalanta	6	0	2	4	-7	2
19	Spal	7	0	2	5	-9	2
20	Benevento	6	0	0	6	-12	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.