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Serie A
Referee: Gianpaolo Calvarese
Atalanta
S T S T S
1–0
Full-time
Chievo
T T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Atalanta Chievo
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
50%
0%
Points per game
1,7
0,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,0
2,8
Scored
1,8
0,7
Conceded
1,2
2,2
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-1,5
This season — Serie A · 22/22 matches
Win Ø 32%
41%
23%
Points per game
1,5
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 53%
55%
50%
Both score Ø 62%
64%
59%
Average goals
2,8
2,7
Scored
1,5
1,0
Conceded
1,2
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,8
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

61% Possession 39%
25 Shots 4
4 Shots on target 0
10 Blocked shots 1
0 Goalkeeper saves 4
10 Corners 3
1 Offside 3
12 Free kicks against 13
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Atalanta 8. · Chievo 13. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Napoli 22 18 3 1 +34 57
2 Juventus 22 18 2 2 +37 56
3 Lazio 22 14 4 4 +30 46
4 Inter 23 12 9 2 +20 45
5 Roma 23 13 5 5 +16 44
6 Sampdoria 23 11 5 7 +10 38
7 Milan 22 10 4 8 +0 34
8 Atalanta 22 9 6 7 +7 33
9 Torino 23 7 12 4 +4 33
10 Udinese 22 10 2 10 +4 32
11 Fiorentina 22 7 7 8 +3 28
12 Bologna 22 8 3 11 -6 27
13 Chievo 22 5 7 10 -18 22
14 Sassuolo 22 6 4 12 -20 22
15 Genoa 22 5 6 11 -8 21
16 Cagliari 22 6 3 13 -14 21
17 Crotone 23 5 5 13 -22 20
18 Spal 22 3 8 11 -17 17
19 Verona 23 4 4 15 -24 16
20 Benevento 22 2 1 19 -36 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

17. Sep -17 Chievo – Atalanta 1–1 27. May -17 Atalanta – Chievo 1–0 8. Jan -17 Chievo – Atalanta 1–4 24. Apr -16 Atalanta – Chievo 1–0 13. Dec -15 Chievo – Atalanta 1–0

Match report

Atalanta Chievo
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 B. Cesar
↦ D. Dainelli
A. Cornelius 🔁
↦ A. Petagna
64′
64′
🔁 N. Rigoni
↦ E. Giaccherini
1–0 G. Mancini ⚽
72′
80′
🔁 R. Inglese
↦ A. Gamberini
J. Palomino 🔁
↦ J. Iličić
83′
90′
🟨 Mattia Bani
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Atalanta

3-4-1-2
1 E. Berisha G
5 A. Masiello D
3 Rafael Tolói D
37 L. Spinazzola M
33 H. Hateboer M
28 G. Mancini D
72 J. Iličić F
15 M. de Roon M
11 R. Freuler M
4 B. Cristante M
29 A. Petagna F
Bench (11)
9 A. Cornelius
6 J. Palomino
99 M. Barrow
8 R. Gosens
88 João Schmidt
32 N. Haas
23 F. Melegoni
31 F. Rossi
21 T. Castagne
95 A. Bastoni
91 P. Gollini

Coach: G. Gasperini

Chievo

5-3-2
70 S. Sorrentino G
5 A. Gamberini D
3 D. Dainelli D
14 M. Bani D
2 P. Jaroszyński D
23 V. Birsa M
56 P. Hetemaj M
8 I. Radovanović M
17 E. Giaccherini M
27 F. Depaoli D
69 R. Meggiorini F
Bench (12)
12 B. Cesar
4 N. Rigoni
45 R. Inglese
9 M. Stępiński
20 M. Pucciarelli
98 A. Confente
19 L. Castro
11 M. Léris
18 M. Gobbi
90 A. Seculin
31 S. Pellissier
10 G. Gaudino

Coach: R. Maran

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Gianpaolo Calvarese · 67 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
19,9 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.