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Serie A

Referee: Maurizio Mariani

Chievo

T T S T T

1–1

Full-time

Atalanta

S S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Chievo Atalanta

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

0,7

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

3,3

2,0

Scored

1,2

1,0

Conceded

2,2

1,0

Goal diff per game

-1,0

+0,0

This season — Serie A · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 84%

100%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

3,0

2,7

Scored

1,0

Conceded

2,0

1,7

Goal diff per game

-1,0

-0,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

34% Possession 66%

15 Shots 10

4 Shots on target 6

3 Blocked shots 1

5 Goalkeeper saves 3

6 Corners 5

2 Offside 2

13 Free kicks against 11

2 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Chievo 15. · Atalanta 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Napoli	4	4	0	0	+13	12
2	Juventus	4	4	0	0	+10	12
3	Inter	4	4	0	0	+9	12
4	Milan	4	3	0	1	+2	9
5	Torino	4	2	2	0	+4	8
6	Lazio	3	2	1	0	+4	7
7	Sampdoria	3	2	1	0	+2	7
8	Fiorentina	4	2	0	2	+2	6
9	Roma	3	2	0	1	+2	6
10	Cagliari	4	2	0	2	-1	6
11	Bologna	4	1	1	2	-3	4
12	Spal	4	1	1	2	-3	4
13	Udinese	4	1	0	3	-2	3
14	Atalanta	3	1	0	2	-2	3
15	Chievo	3	1	0	2	-3	3
16	Genoa	3	0	1	2	-3	1
17	Sassuolo	4	0	1	3	-6	1
18	Crotone	4	0	1	3	-6	1
19	Verona	4	0	1	3	-10	1
20	Benevento	4	0	0	4	-9	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Napoli	2	2	0	0	+8	6
2	Juventus	2	2	0	0	+6	6
3	Inter	2	2	0	0	+5	6
4	Milan	2	2	0	0	+2	6
5	Torino	2	1	1	0	+3	4
6	Lazio	2	1	1	0	+3	4
7	Roma	2	1	0	1	+1	3
8	Sampdoria	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Cagliari	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Fiorentina	2	1	0	1	+0	3
11	Udinese	2	1	0	1	+0	3
12	Atalanta	2	1	0	1	+0	3
13	Spal	2	1	0	1	-1	3
14	Sassuolo	2	0	1	1	-2	1
15	Bologna	2	0	1	1	-3	1
16	Crotone	3	0	1	2	-5	1
17	Chievo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Genoa	1	0	0	1	-2	0
19	Benevento	2	0	0	2	-2	0
20	Verona	2	0	0	2	-7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Napoli	2	2	0	0	+5	6
2	Juventus	2	2	0	0	+4	6
3	Inter	2	2	0	0	+4	6
4	Sampdoria	2	1	1	0	+1	4
5	Torino	2	1	1	0	+1	4
6	Fiorentina	2	1	0	1	+2	3
7	Lazio	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Roma	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Milan	2	1	0	1	+0	3
10	Bologna	2	1	0	1	+0	3
11	Cagliari	3	1	0	2	-2	3
12	Chievo	2	1	0	1	-2	3
13	Genoa	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Spal	2	0	1	1	-2	1
15	Verona	2	0	1	1	-3	1
16	Crotone	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Udinese	2	0	0	2	-2	0
18	Atalanta	1	0	0	1	-2	0
19	Sassuolo	2	0	0	2	-4	0
20	Benevento	2	0	0	2	-7	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.