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Pro League
Referee: Christof Dierick
Anderlecht
S S S S U
2–2
Full-time
Mechelen
T T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Anderlecht Mechelen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
83%
0%
Points per game
2,7
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
83%
17%
Both score Ø 34%
67%
0%
Average goals
3,3
2,2
Scored
2,3
0,0
Conceded
1,0
2,2
Goal diff per game
+1,3
-2,2
This season — Pro League · 14/24 matches
Win Ø 44%
71%
17%
Points per game
2,4
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 52%
71%
33%
Both score Ø 53%
64%
42%
Average goals
3,4
2,6
Scored
2,1
0,9
Conceded
1,2
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,9
-0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

59% Possession 41%
5 Shots 10
2 Shots on target 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 0
5 Corners 5
0 Offside 6
11 Free kicks against 12
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Anderlecht 3. · Mechelen 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Club Brugge 17 14 2 1 +26 44
2 Antwerp 25 9 10 6 +5 37
3 Anderlecht 14 10 3 1 +13 33
4 Beveren 25 9 6 10 +3 33
5 Kortrijk 25 9 6 10 -2 33
6 St Truiden 25 8 9 8 -7 33
7 Charleroi 16 9 5 2 +14 32
8 Royal Excel Mouscron 25 8 5 12 -11 29
9 Gent 16 8 4 4 +13 28
10 Waregem 24 8 3 13 -6 27
11 Lokeren 25 7 6 12 -13 27
12 Genk 17 6 8 3 +4 26
13 Oostende 24 7 4 13 -3 25
14 Standard 17 6 6 5 +2 24
15 Eupen 25 4 9 12 -18 21
16 Mechelen 24 4 6 14 -20 18

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Anderlecht Mechelen
1–0 S. Ganvoula
R. Morioka
10′
15′
H. Bandé 1–1
21′
U. Spajić 2–1
own goal
Half-time 2–1
P. Gerkens 🔁
↦ N. Janelas
46′
A. Chipciu 🔁
↦ A. Lokonga
46′
Uroš Spajić 🟨
49′
3–1 S. Ganvoula
O. Deschacht
57′
Leander Dendoncker 🟨
58′
68′
🔁 F. Camus
↦ R. Schoofs
79′
🔁 N. Verdier
↦ T. Matthys
80′
🟨 Ahmed El Messaoudi
90′
🟨 Nicolas Verdier
D. Mohammed 🔁
↦ R. Morioka
90′
90′
🔁 H. Smolders
↦ H. Bandé
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Anderlecht

3-4-3
1 M. Sels G
3 O. Deschacht D
12 D. Appiah D
5 U. Spajić D
20 S. Kums M
10 R. Morioka M
15 K. Saief M
32 L. Dendoncker M
52 N. Janelas
48 A. Lokonga F
35 S. Ganvoula
Bench (8)
8 P. Gerkens
11 A. Chipciu
38 D. Mohammed
2 Josué Sá
17 M. Bruno
37 I. Obradović
47 A. Dante
30 B. de Jong

Coach: H. Vanhaezebrouck

Mechelen

4-3-3
26 C. Coosemans G
18 M. Bagayoko D
15 E. Cocalić D
3 A. El Messaoudi D
22 E. Cobbaut D
7 T. Matthys M
21 C. Tainmont M
11 M. Rits M
40 Y. Sylla M
16 R. Schoofs M
27 H. Bandé F
Bench (7)
28 F. Camus
99 N. Verdier
30 H. Smolders
49 A. Moris
77 G. Claes
2 L. Paulussen
10 D. Kolovos

Coach: D. van Wijk

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Christof Dierick · 49 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
15,0 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,25 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.