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Eredivisie
Referee: Kevin Blom
AZ Alkmaar
U T S U S
2–2
Full-time
Roda
T T T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

AZ Alkmaar Roda
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,8
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
3,0
3,5
Scored
2,2
1,3
Conceded
0,8
2,2
Goal diff per game
+1,3
-0,8
This season — Eredivisie · 20/20 matches
Win Ø 43%
65%
20%
Points per game
2,1
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 55%
50%
60%
Both score Ø 58%
50%
65%
Average goals
2,9
3,1
Scored
1,9
1,0
Conceded
1,0
2,1
Goal diff per game
+0,9
-1,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

70% Possession 30%
16 Shots 15
5 Shots on target 4
0 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
2 Corners 6
1 Offside 2
9 Free kicks against 4
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match AZ Alkmaar 3. · Roda 17. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 PSV Eindhoven 21 18 1 2 +35 55
2 Ajax 20 14 3 3 +39 45
3 AZ Alkmaar 20 13 3 4 +17 42
4 Feyenoord 20 10 6 4 +21 36
5 Zwolle 21 10 6 5 +1 36
6 Vitesse 19 8 6 5 +10 30
7 Heerenveen 20 8 6 6 -1 30
8 Den Haag 20 8 4 8 -3 28
9 Utrecht 19 7 7 5 -3 28
10 VVV Venlo 20 6 8 6 -3 26
11 Excelsior 21 7 4 10 -6 25
12 Heracles 21 6 6 9 -12 24
13 Groningen 21 5 7 9 -2 22
14 Willem II 20 4 5 11 -15 17
15 Twente 21 4 4 13 -12 16
16 NAC Breda 20 4 4 12 -17 16
17 Roda 20 4 3 13 -22 15
18 Sparta Rotterdam 20 2 5 13 -27 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

19. Nov -17 Roda – AZ Alkmaar 0–1 9. Apr -17 AZ Alkmaar – Roda 1–1 20. Nov -16 Roda – AZ Alkmaar 1–1 16. Jan -16 Roda – AZ Alkmaar 0–1 30. Aug -15 AZ Alkmaar – Roda 0–1

Match report

AZ Alkmaar Roda
0–1 P. Banggaard ⚽
own goal
13′
22′
⚽ J. Vancamp 0–2
D. Schahin
32′
🔁 M. Ngombo
↦ D. Schahin
1–2 F. Midtsjø ⚽
36′
Half-time 1–2
57′
🔁 M. El Makrini
↦ J. Vancamp
70′
🔁 L. Milts
↦ D. Avdijaj
71′
⚽ W. Ndenge 1–3
A. Auassar
73′
🟨 Fred Ngombo
O. Mihálik 🔁
↦ M. Seuntjens
74′
R. van Rhijn 🔁
↦ J. Svensson
76′
J. van Overeem 🔁
↦ T. Koopmeiners
81′
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

AZ Alkmaar

4-3-3
1 M. Bizot G
30 S. Wuytens D
2 J. Svensson D
12 P. Hatzidiakos D
5 T. Ouwejan D
6 F. Midtsjø M
20 M. Seuntjens F
14 T. Koopmeiners M
15 G. Til M
7 A. Jahanbakhsh F
9 W. Weghorst F
Bench (9)
27 O. Mihálik
23 R. van Rhijn
8 J. van Overeem
4 R. Vlaar
16 G. Coutinho
26 O. Wijndal
38 F. Druijf
49 M. Hoedemakers
22 O. Idrissi

Coach: J. van den Brom

Roda

4-4-2
1 H. Jurjus G
3 P. Banggaard D
2 H. Dijkhuizen D
17 J. Vansteenkiste D
8 A. Auassar D
10 Simon Gustafson M
13 W. Ndenge M
9 D. Schahin F
7 M. Rosheuvel M
27 D. Avdijaj F
18 J. Vancamp F
Bench (11)
28 M. Ngombo
6 M. El Makrini
25 L. Milts
4 C. Kum
5 A. van Peppen
11 G. van Velzen
14 M. Engels
16 F. Kurto
20 D. Werker
23 N. Rutjes
30 R. Mertens

Coach: R. Molenaar

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Kevin Blom · 56 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
14,3 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.