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Serie A
Referee: Davide Massa
Verona
T S T T T
2–1
Full-time
Torino
U S U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Verona Torino
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,5
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 25%
17%
33%
Average goals
2,5
2,2
Scored
0,7
1,7
Conceded
1,8
0,5
Goal diff per game
-1,2
+1,2
This season — Serie A · 25/25 matches
Win Ø 24%
16%
32%
Points per game
0,6
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
64%
52%
Both score Ø 46%
36%
56%
Average goals
2,9
2,6
Scored
0,9
1,4
Conceded
2,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
-1,1
+0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

43% Possession 57%
8 Shots 15
5 Shots on target 2
2 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
7 Corners 7
2 Offside 2
11 Free kicks against 20
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Verona 19. · Torino 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Napoli 25 21 3 1 +40 66
2 Juventus 25 21 2 2 +47 65
3 Inter 26 14 9 3 +21 51
4 Roma 25 15 5 5 +21 50
5 Lazio 25 15 4 6 +28 49
6 Sampdoria 25 12 5 8 +11 41
7 Milan 25 12 5 8 +5 41
8 Atalanta 25 10 8 7 +8 38
9 Torino 25 8 12 5 +5 36
10 Udinese 25 10 3 12 +0 33
11 Bologna 26 10 3 13 -5 33
12 Fiorentina 25 8 8 9 +2 32
13 Genoa 26 8 6 12 -6 30
14 Cagliari 25 7 4 14 -13 25
15 Chievo 25 6 7 12 -19 25
16 Sassuolo 25 6 5 14 -28 23
17 Crotone 26 5 6 15 -24 21
18 Spal 26 4 8 14 -23 20
19 Verona 25 4 4 17 -28 16
20 Benevento 26 3 1 22 -42 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Verona Torino
1–0 M. Valoti
J. Vuković
12′
13′
🟨 Nicolás Burdisso
Bruno Petković 🟨
29′
Alex Ferrari 🟨
39′
Rômulo 🟨
44′
Half-time 1–1
49′
M. Niang 1–1
Iago Falqué
Ryder Matos 🔁
↦ Rômulo
58′
F. Zuculini 🔁
↦ D. Verde
66′
70′
🔁 A. Ljajić
↦ A. Acquah
M. Fossati 🔁
↦ S. Calvano
76′
2–1 M. Valoti
77′
78′
🔁 D. Baselli
↦ J. Obi
83′
🔁 Álex Berenguer
↦ Iago Falqué
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Verona

4-4-2
1 Nicolas G
26 J. Vuković D
12 A. Caracciolo D
28 A. Ferrari D
93 M. Fares D
2 Rômulo M
27 M. Valoti M
23 S. Calvano M
70 B. Petković F
7 D. Verde F
9 M. Kean F
Bench (12)
30 Ryder Matos
14 F. Zuculini
8 M. Fossati
4 S. Laner
16 R. Aarons
17 M. Silvestri
21 Lee Seung-Woo
25 D. Boldor
37 E. Bearzotti
40 F. Coppola
69 S. Souprayen
97 G. Felicioli

Coach: F. Pecchia

Torino

4-3-3
39 S. Sirigu G
13 N. Burdisso D
29 L. De Silvestri M
15 C. Ansaldi M
33 N. N'Koulou D
88 T. Rincón M
22 J. Obi M
6 A. Acquah M
14 Iago Falqué F
11 M. Niang F
9 A. Belotti F
Bench (9)
10 A. Ljajić
8 D. Baselli
21 Álex Berenguer
1 S. Ichazo
5 M. Valdifiori
23 A. Barreca
24 E. Moretti
32 V. Savić
97 Lyanco

Coach: W. Mazzarri

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Davide Massa · 87 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,8 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.