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Eredivisie
Referee: Danny Desmond Makkelie
Feyenoord
S T S T S
1–3
Full-time
PSV Eindhoven
S S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Feyenoord PSV Eindhoven
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
50%
83%
Points per game
1,7
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,5
2,8
Scored
1,5
2,2
Conceded
1,0
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+1,5
This season — Eredivisie · 24/24 matches
Win Ø 67%
50%
83%
Points per game
1,8
2,6
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
46%
71%
Both score Ø 48%
46%
50%
Average goals
2,9
3,6
Scored
1,9
2,6
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,9
+1,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

59% Possession 41%
11 Shots 17
4 Shots on target 7
4 Blocked shots 4
4 Goalkeeper saves 3
2 Corners 6
3 Offside 0
16 Free kicks against 15
4 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Feyenoord 4. · PSV Eindhoven 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 PSV Eindhoven 24 20 2 2 +37 62
2 Ajax 25 18 4 3 +45 58
3 AZ Alkmaar 25 16 5 4 +24 53
4 Feyenoord 24 12 6 6 +22 42
5 Zwolle 25 11 6 8 -1 39
6 Utrecht 22 10 7 5 +2 37
7 Vitesse 22 9 7 6 +11 34
8 Den Haag 23 9 6 8 -2 33
9 Heerenveen 24 8 8 8 -3 32
10 Excelsior 25 9 5 11 -5 32
11 VVV Venlo 25 7 11 7 -5 32
12 Heracles 25 8 6 11 -16 30
13 Groningen 25 5 10 10 -5 25
14 NAC Breda 25 5 6 14 -16 21
15 Willem II 24 5 5 14 -15 20
16 Twente 24 4 5 15 -17 17
17 Roda 24 4 5 15 -27 17
18 Sparta Rotterdam 25 3 6 16 -29 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Feyenoord PSV Eindhoven
23′
S. Arias 0–1
S. Bergwijn
Sofyan Amrabat 🟨
32′
34′
S. Bergwijn 0–2
G. Pereiro
Half-time 0–2
J. Boëtius 🔁
↦ S. Berghuis
46′
Jan-Arie Van der Heijden 🟨
50′
1–2 T. Vilhena
J. Boëtius
53′
Eric Botteghin 🟨
55′
58′
G. Pereiro 1–3
Karim El Ahmadi 🟨
73′
85′
🔁 Mauro Júnior
↦ G. Pereiro
89′
🔁 D. Luckassen
↦ B. Ramselaar
92′
🔁 C. Gakpo
↦ S. Bergwijn
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Feyenoord

4-3-3
25 B. Jones G
6 J. van der Heijden D
33 Eric Botteghin D
2 B. Nieuwkoop D
35 T. Malacia D
8 K. El Ahmadi M
28 J. Toornstra M
10 T. Vilhena M
21 S. Amrabat M
9 N. Jørgensen F
19 S. Berghuis F
Bench (9)
7 J. Boëtius
5 R. Haps
17 K. Diks
20 R. Tapia
22 J. Bijlow
30 R. ten Hove
32 R. van Persie
34 D. Vente
36 E. Hansson

Coach: G. van Bronckhorst

PSV Eindhoven

4-3-3
1 J. Zoet G
5 D. Schwaab D
4 S. Arias D
2 N. Isimat-Mirin D
20 J. Brenet D
10 M. van Ginkel M
8 J. Hendrix M
23 B. Ramselaar M
9 L. de Jong F
7 G. Pereiro M
17 S. Bergwijn F
Bench (12)
47 Mauro Júnior
3 D. Luckassen
52 C. Gakpo
13 E. Room
14 S. Lammers
16 D. Rigo
18 P. Rosario
24 R. Lundqvist
29 Albert Gudmundsson
31 Y. van Osch
35 D. Malen
50 A. Obispo

Coach: P. Cocu

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Danny Desmond Makkelie · 111 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,7 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
18,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.