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La Liga

Referee: Alejandro Hernandez

Ath Bilbao

U U T U T

2–1

Full-time

Malaga

U U T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ath Bilbao Malaga

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 0%

Points per game

0,7

0,3

Over 2.5 Ø 17%

17%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

2,0

1,3

Scored

0,7

0,3

Conceded

1,3

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,7

This season — La Liga · 24/24 matches

Win Ø 19%

25%

13%

Points per game

1,2

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 29%

29%

Both score Ø 36%

42%

29%

Average goals

2,1

2,2

Scored

1,0

0,6

Conceded

1,1

1,6

Goal diff per game

-0,1

-1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

59% Possession 41%

8 Shots 8

6 Shots on target 4

1 Blocked shots 1

3 Goalkeeper saves 3

6 Corners 4

2 Offside 4

12 Free kicks against 18

3 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Ath Bilbao 14. · Malaga 20. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	25	20	5	0	+56	65
2	Ath Madrid	24	16	7	1	+27	55
3	Real Madrid	25	15	6	4	+35	51
4	Valencia	24	14	4	6	+19	46
5	Villarreal	25	12	5	8	+7	41
6	Sevilla	24	12	3	9	-4	39
7	Celta	25	10	5	10	+6	35
8	Eibar	25	10	5	10	-6	35
9	Girona	25	9	7	9	-1	34
10	Getafe	25	8	9	8	+7	33
11	Betis	24	10	3	11	-9	33
12	Leganes	25	8	6	11	-7	30
13	Sociedad	24	8	5	11	+1	29
14	Ath Bilbao	24	6	10	8	-3	28
15	Espanol	25	6	10	9	-10	28
16	Alaves	25	9	1	15	-15	28
17	Levante	24	3	11	10	-17	20
18	Las Palmas	25	5	4	16	-34	19
19	La Coruna	25	4	6	15	-29	18
20	Malaga	24	3	4	17	-23	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	12	10	2	0	+31	32
2	Ath Madrid	12	8	4	0	+13	28
3	Real Madrid	13	8	2	3	+22	26
4	Valencia	12	8	2	2	+14	26
5	Getafe	13	7	3	3	+12	24
6	Sevilla	11	7	3	1	+9	24
7	Villarreal	12	7	2	3	+11	23
8	Eibar	13	6	3	4	+8	21
9	Girona	12	6	2	4	+8	20
10	Betis	13	6	2	5	-3	20
11	Celta	12	5	4	3	+4	19
12	Espanol	13	5	4	4	+0	19
13	Alaves	13	6	1	6	-3	19
14	Sociedad	13	5	3	5	+7	18
15	Leganes	12	5	3	4	-1	18
16	Ath Bilbao	11	3	6	2	+2	15
17	Las Palmas	12	4	1	7	-11	13
18	La Coruna	13	3	3	7	-8	12
19	Levante	12	2	5	5	-6	11
20	Malaga	12	2	3	7	-8	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	13	10	3	0	+25	33
2	Ath Madrid	12	8	3	1	+14	27
3	Real Madrid	12	7	4	1	+13	25
4	Valencia	12	6	2	4	+5	20
5	Villarreal	13	5	3	5	-4	18
6	Celta	13	5	1	7	+2	16
7	Sevilla	13	5	0	8	-13	15
8	Girona	13	3	5	5	-9	14
9	Eibar	12	4	2	6	-14	14
10	Ath Bilbao	13	3	4	6	-5	13
11	Betis	11	4	1	6	-6	13
12	Leganes	13	3	3	7	-6	12
13	Sociedad	11	3	2	6	-6	11
14	Getafe	12	1	6	5	-5	9
15	Espanol	12	1	6	5	-10	9
16	Levante	12	1	6	5	-11	9
17	Alaves	12	3	0	9	-12	9
18	La Coruna	12	1	3	8	-21	6
19	Las Palmas	13	1	3	9	-23	6
20	Malaga	12	1	1	10	-15	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.