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Serie A
Referee: Michael Fabbri
Sassuolo
S S S U T
1–1
Full-time
Torino
S T U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sassuolo Torino
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
1,8
2,8
Scored
0,8
1,7
Conceded
1,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,5
This season — Serie A · 20/20 matches
Win Ø 30%
30%
30%
Points per game
1,1
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
40%
60%
Both score Ø 48%
35%
60%
Average goals
2,2
2,8
Scored
0,7
1,4
Conceded
1,5
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,9
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

44% Possession 56%
18 Shots 9
6 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 5
6 Corners 7
2 Offside 0
16 Free kicks against 15
4 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sassuolo 15. · Torino 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Napoli 21 17 3 1 +32 54
2 Juventus 20 16 2 2 +34 50
3 Inter 20 12 6 2 +20 42
4 Lazio 19 12 4 3 +24 40
5 Roma 19 12 3 4 +16 39
6 Sampdoria 19 9 3 7 +7 30
7 Atalanta 21 8 6 7 +4 30
8 Fiorentina 20 7 7 6 +8 28
9 Udinese 19 9 1 9 +6 28
10 Torino 20 6 10 4 +1 28
11 Milan 20 8 4 8 -2 28
12 Bologna 20 7 3 10 -7 24
13 Chievo 20 5 7 8 -12 22
14 Genoa 20 5 6 9 -6 21
15 Sassuolo 20 6 3 11 -17 21
16 Cagliari 20 6 2 12 -13 20
17 Spal 20 3 6 11 -17 15
18 Crotone 20 4 3 13 -25 15
19 Verona 20 3 4 13 -23 13
20 Benevento 20 2 1 17 -30 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sassuolo Torino
26′
J. Obi 0–1
Alfred Duncan 🟨
39′
Half-time 0–1
48′
🟨 Tomás Rincón
A. Matri 🔁
↦ A. Ragusa
53′
1–1 D. Berardi
A. Duncan
54′
62′
🔁 E. Moretti
↦ Álex Berenguer
Francesco Acerbi 🟨
65′
Alessandro Matri 🟨
70′
73′
🔁 C. Ansaldi
↦ J. Obi
M. Politano 🔁
↦ D. Falcinelli
74′
81′
🟨 Daniele Baselli
83′
🔁 L. Boyé
↦ M. Niang
L. Mazzitelli 🔁
↦ A. Duncan
87′
Edoardo Goldaniga 🟨
90′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Sassuolo

4-3-3
47 A. Consigli G
13 F. Peluso D
15 F. Acerbi D
24 E. Goldaniga D
21 Pol Lirola D
7 S. Missiroli M
4 F. Magnanelli M
32 A. Duncan M
90 A. Ragusa F
11 D. Falcinelli F
25 D. Berardi F
Bench (12)
10 A. Matri
16 M. Politano
6 L. Mazzitelli
8 D. Biondini
12 S. Sensi
14 G. Scamacca
17 N. Pierini
26 Rogério
29 F. Cassata
39 C. Dell'Orco
77 G. Pegolo
98 C. Adjapong

Coach: G. Iachini

Torino

4-2-3-1
39 S. Sirigu G
13 N. Burdisso D
29 L. De Silvestri M
3 C. Molinaro D
33 N. N'Koulou D
88 T. Rincón M
22 J. Obi M
8 D. Baselli M
14 Iago Falqué F
11 M. Niang F
21 Álex Berenguer F
Bench (12)
24 E. Moretti
15 C. Ansaldi
31 L. Boyé
1 S. Ichazo
4 K. Bonifazi
5 M. Valdifiori
6 A. Acquah
10 A. Ljajić
16 Samuel Gustafson
23 A. Barreca
32 V. Savić
99 U. Sadiq

Coach: W. Mazzarri

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Michael Fabbri · 75 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
20,4 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.