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Serie A
Referee: Marco Di Bello
Bologna
T T T T U
0–3
Full-time
Inter
S T S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bologna Inter
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
0,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,0
3,7
Scored
0,5
2,0
Conceded
1,5
1,7
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+0,3
This season — Serie A · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,5
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
0%
50%
Both score Ø 25%
0%
50%
Average goals
0,5
2,5
Scored
0,0
1,0
Conceded
0,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

26% Possession 74%
8 Shots 13
1 Shots on target 3
0 Blocked shots 3
0 Goalkeeper saves 1
3 Corners 7
3 Offside 2
8 Free kicks against 10
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Bologna 15. · Inter 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Juventus 2 2 0 0 +3 6
2 Napoli 2 2 0 0 +2 6
3 Spal 2 2 0 0 +2 6
4 Atalanta 2 1 1 0 +4 4
5 Udinese 2 1 1 0 +1 4
6 Sassuolo 2 1 1 0 +1 4
7 Roma 3 1 1 1 +0 4
8 Fiorentina 1 1 0 0 +5 3
9 Empoli 2 1 0 1 +1 3
10 Genoa 1 1 0 0 +1 3
11 Milan 2 1 0 1 +0 3
12 Parma 2 0 1 1 -1 1
13 Torino 2 0 1 1 -1 1
14 Inter 2 0 1 1 -1 1
15 Bologna 2 0 1 1 -1 1
16 Cagliari 2 0 1 1 -2 1
17 Frosinone 2 0 1 1 -4 1
18 Sampdoria 1 0 0 1 -1 0
19 Lazio 2 0 0 2 -3 0
20 Chievo 2 0 0 2 -6 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Bologna Inter
Half-time 0–0
Blerim Džemaili 🟨
60′
66′
R. Nainggolan 0–1
M. Politano
R. Orsolini 🔁
↦ S. De Maio
72′
O. Okwonkwo 🔁
↦ A. Poli
75′
78′
🔁 M. Vecino
↦ R. Nainggolan
M. Destro 🔁
↦ D. Falcinelli
79′
79′
🔁 A. Candreva
↦ K. Baldé
82′
A. Candreva 0–2
I. Perišić
84′
I. Perišić 0–3
85′
🔁 Š. Vrsaljko
↦ D. DAmbrosio
88′
🟨 Roberto Gagliardini
Full-time 0–3

Line-ups

Bologna

3-5-2
28 Ł. Skorupski G
23 Danilo D
4 S. De Maio D
18 F. Helander D
35 M. Dijks D
14 F. Mattiello M
31 B. Džemaili M
16 A. Poli M
5 E. Pulgar M
9 F. Santander F
91 D. Falcinelli F
Bench (12)
7 R. Orsolini
30 O. Okwonkwo
22 M. Destro
3 G. González
8 Á. Nagy
11 L. Krejčí
15 I. M'baye
19 J. Valencia
29 A. Santurro
32 M. Svanberg
33 A. Calabresi
99 Caio Vinicius

Coach: F. Inzaghi

Inter

4-2-3-1
1 S. Handanovič G
6 S. de Vrij D
33 D. D'Ambrosio D
37 M. Škriniar D
44 I. Perišić M
14 R. Nainggolan M
18 K. Asamoah D
77 M. Brozović M
5 R. Gagliardini M
16 M. Politano F
11 K. Baldé F
Bench (10)
8 M. Vecino
87 A. Candreva
2 Š. Vrsaljko
10 Lautaro Martínez
13 A. Ranocchia
15 João Mário
20 Borja Valero
23 João Miranda
27 D. Padelli
29 Dalbert Henrique

Coach: L. Spalletti

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Marco Di Bello · 77 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
20,8 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,32 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.