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Serie A
Referee: Rosario Abisso
Fiorentina
T S S T T
6–1
Full-time
Chievo
T S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Fiorentina Chievo
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
3,8
3,3
Scored
1,7
1,5
Conceded
2,2
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

47% Possession 53%
22 Shots 8
12 Shots on target 3
4 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 5
2 Corners 3
2 Offside 5
14 Free kicks against 9
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Juventus 2 2 0 0 +3 6
2 Napoli 2 2 0 0 +2 6
3 Spal 2 2 0 0 +2 6
4 Atalanta 1 1 0 0 +4 3
5 Empoli 1 1 0 0 +2 3
6 Roma 1 1 0 0 +1 3
7 Sassuolo 1 1 0 0 +1 3
8 Udinese 1 0 1 0 +0 1
9 Parma 2 0 1 1 -1 1
10 Milan 1 0 0 1 -1 0
11 Chievo 1 0 0 1 -1 0
12 Torino 1 0 0 1 -1 0
13 Inter 1 0 0 1 -1 0
14 Bologna 1 0 0 1 -1 0
15 Cagliari 1 0 0 1 -2 0
16 Lazio 2 0 0 2 -3 0
17 Frosinone 1 0 0 1 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

25. Feb -18 Fiorentina – Chievo 1–0 1. Oct -17 Chievo – Fiorentina 2–1 21. Jan -17 Chievo – Fiorentina 0–3 28. Aug -16 Fiorentina – Chievo 1–0 30. Apr -16 Chievo – Fiorentina 0–0

Match report

Fiorentina Chievo
1–0 N. Milenković ⚽
8′
Edimilson Fernandes 🟨
39′
2–0 Gerson ⚽
42′
Half-time 2–0
46′
🔁 J. Obi
↦ P. Hetemaj
3–0 M. Benassi ⚽
G. Simeone
49′
C. Nørgaard 🔁
↦ E. Fernandes
54′
66′
🟨 Fabio Depaoli
66′
🔁 R. Meggiorini
↦ N. Rigoni
4–0 F. Chiesa ⚽
Gerson
71′
M. Pjaca 🔁
↦ F. Chiesa
74′
B. Dabo 🔁
↦ Gerson
75′
76′
⚽ N. Tomović 4–1
V. Birsa
77′
🔁 S. Kiyine
↦ V. Birsa
82′
🟨 Riccardo Meggiorini
84′
🟨 Ivan Radovanović
5–1 M. Benassi ⚽
C. Biraghi
90′
6–1 G. Simeone ⚽
V. Eysseric
93′
Full-time 6–1

Line-ups

Fiorentina

4-3-3
1 A. Lafont G
31 Vitor Hugo D
3 C. Biraghi D
20 G. Pezzella D
4 N. Milenković D
7 V. Eysseric M
24 M. Benassi M
26 E. Fernandes M
8 Gerson M
9 G. Simeone F
25 F. Chiesa F
Bench (11)
6 C. Nørgaard
10 M. Pjaca
14 B. Dabo
5 F. Ceccherini
34 K. Diks
67 S. Ghidotti
16 D. Hancko
2 V. Laurini
19 Cristóbal Montiel
28 D. Vlahović
69 B. Drągowski

Coach: S. Pioli

Chievo

4-3-3
16 A. Seculin G
15 L. Rossettini D
40 N. Tomović D
44 P. Jaroszyński D
23 V. Birsa M
4 N. Rigoni M
56 P. Hetemaj M
8 I. Radovanović M
17 E. Giaccherini M
27 F. Depaoli D
9 M. Stępiński F
Bench (11)
22 J. Obi
69 R. Meggiorini
13 S. Kiyine
20 F. Đorđević
67 E. Caprile
11 M. Léris
1 A. Šemper
31 S. Pellissier
5 F. Barba
10 M. Pucciarelli
14 M. Bani

Coach: L. D'Anna

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Rosario Abisso · 48 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.