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Serie A

Referee: Luca J Pairetto

Parma

T T S S T

1–0

Full-time

Empoli

T U T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Parma Empoli

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,2

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

2,3

2,0

Scored

1,0

0,8

Conceded

1,3

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,3

This season — Serie A · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,2

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

2,3

2,0

Scored

1,0

0,8

Conceded

1,3

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

31% Possession 69%

11 Shots 18

3 Shots on target 2

4 Blocked shots 9

2 Goalkeeper saves 2

2 Corners 11

2 Offside 1

13 Free kicks against 9

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Parma 13. · Empoli 18. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	7	7	0	0	+11	21
2	Napoli	7	5	0	2	+3	15
3	Fiorentina	7	4	1	2	+9	13
4	Sassuolo	6	4	1	1	+6	13
5	Inter	7	4	1	2	+5	13
6	Lazio	7	4	0	3	+1	12
7	Genoa	6	4	0	2	+0	12
8	Roma	7	3	2	2	+4	11
9	Torino	7	2	3	2	-1	9
10	Spal	6	3	0	3	-2	9
11	Sampdoria	6	2	2	2	+6	8
12	Udinese	7	2	2	3	+0	8
13	Parma	6	2	1	3	-2	7
14	Bologna	7	2	1	4	-4	7
15	Milan	5	1	3	1	+0	6
16	Atalanta	7	1	3	3	-1	6
17	Cagliari	7	1	3	3	-5	6
18	Empoli	6	1	2	3	-2	5
19	Chievo	7	0	2	5	-11	2
20	Frosinone	7	0	1	6	-17	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Fiorentina	4	4	0	0	+11	12
2	Juventus	4	4	0	0	+7	12
3	Sassuolo	3	3	0	0	+5	9
4	Napoli	3	3	0	0	+5	9
5	Genoa	3	3	0	0	+4	9
6	Roma	4	2	2	0	+6	8
7	Inter	4	2	1	1	+2	7
8	Lazio	3	2	0	1	+3	6
9	Spal	3	2	0	1	+1	6
10	Bologna	4	2	0	2	-1	6
11	Atalanta	3	1	1	1	+3	4
12	Sampdoria	3	1	1	1	+2	4
13	Parma	3	1	1	1	+1	4
14	Milan	2	1	1	0	+1	4
15	Empoli	3	1	1	1	+1	4
16	Udinese	3	1	1	1	+0	4
17	Cagliari	3	0	3	0	+0	3
18	Torino	3	1	0	2	-2	3
19	Chievo	4	0	1	3	-4	1
20	Frosinone	4	0	1	3	-8	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	3	3	0	0	+4	9
2	Inter	3	2	0	1	+3	6
3	Torino	4	1	3	0	+1	6
4	Napoli	4	2	0	2	-2	6
5	Lazio	4	2	0	2	-2	6
6	Sampdoria	3	1	1	1	+4	4
7	Sassuolo	3	1	1	1	+1	4
8	Udinese	4	1	1	2	+0	4
9	Roma	3	1	0	2	-2	3
10	Spal	3	1	0	2	-3	3
11	Parma	3	1	0	2	-3	3
12	Genoa	3	1	0	2	-4	3
13	Cagliari	4	1	0	3	-5	3
14	Milan	3	0	2	1	-1	2
15	Atalanta	4	0	2	2	-4	2
16	Fiorentina	3	0	1	2	-2	1
17	Empoli	3	0	1	2	-3	1
18	Bologna	3	0	1	2	-3	1
19	Chievo	3	0	1	2	-7	1
20	Frosinone	3	0	0	3	-9	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.