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Serie A
Referee: Livio Marinelli
Genoa
S T T T T
2–1
Full-time
Empoli
S T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Genoa Empoli
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,5
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
3,3
3,2
Scored
1,3
1,5
Conceded
2,0
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

30% Possession 70%
13 Shots 18
3 Shots on target 4
5 Blocked shots 7
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
3 Corners 6
0 Offside 3
13 Free kicks against 16
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Juventus 2 2 0 0 +3 6
2 Napoli 2 2 0 0 +2 6
3 Spal 2 2 0 0 +2 6
4 Atalanta 1 1 0 0 +4 3
5 Empoli 1 1 0 0 +2 3
6 Roma 1 1 0 0 +1 3
7 Sassuolo 1 1 0 0 +1 3
8 Udinese 1 0 1 0 +0 1
9 Parma 2 0 1 1 -1 1
10 Milan 1 0 0 1 -1 0
11 Chievo 1 0 0 1 -1 0
12 Torino 1 0 0 1 -1 0
13 Inter 1 0 0 1 -1 0
14 Bologna 1 0 0 1 -1 0
15 Cagliari 1 0 0 1 -2 0
16 Lazio 2 0 0 2 -3 0
17 Frosinone 1 0 0 1 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Genoa Empoli
1–0 K. Piątek
D. Criscito
6′
2–0 C. Kouamé
D. Criscito
18′
Nicolás Spolli 🟨
45′
Half-time 2–0
Domenico Criscito 🟨
52′
L. Mazzitelli 🔁
↦ G. Pandev
54′
Ervin Zukanović 🟨
59′
K. Günter 🔁
↦ D. Lazović
72′
73′
🔁 I. Bennacer
↦ A. Acquah
77′
🔁 S. Mráz
↦ A. La Gumina
Daniel Bessa 🔁
↦ O. Hiljemark
81′
85′
🟨 Matías Silvestre
85′
🔁 H. Traorè
↦ M. Zajc
90′
🟨 Rade Krunić
94′
S. Mráz 2–1
G. Di Lorenzo
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Genoa

3-4-1-2
1 F. Marchetti G
2 N. Spolli D
4 D. Criscito D
87 E. Zukanović D
14 D. Biraschi D
22 D. Lazović M
8 Rômulo M
88 O. Hiljemark M
19 G. Pandev F
9 K. Piątek F
11 C. Kouamé F
Bench (12)
15 L. Mazzitelli
3 K. Günter
24 Daniel Bessa
5 L. López
10 G. Lapadula
18 E. Rolón
25 R. Vodišek
26 N. Dalmonte
32 Pedro Pereira
33 I. Lakićević
45 Iuri Medeiros
97 I. Radu

Coach: D. Ballardini

Empoli

4-3-1-2
21 P. Terracciano G
26 M. Silvestre D
13 L. Antonelli D
2 G. Di Lorenzo D
32 J. Rasmussen D
18 A. Acquah M
6 M. Zajc M
28 L. Capezzi M
33 R. Krunić M
11 F. Caputo F
20 A. La Gumina F
Bench (12)
10 I. Bennacer
66 S. Mráz
8 H. Traorè
48 S. Uçan
1 I. Provedel
4 M. Brighi
5 F. Veseli
7 L. Mchedlidze
23 M. Pasqual
27 J. Untersee
29 M. Marcjanik
99 A. Fulignati

Coach: A. Andreazzoli

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Livio Marinelli · 14 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
28,4 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,29 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.