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Serie A
Referee: Daniele Doveri
Parma
U T
1–2
Full-time
Juventus
S U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Parma Juventus
Last 6 — all competitions · 2/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
0%
83%
Points per game
0,5
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,5
3,2
Scored
1,0
2,2
Conceded
1,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+1,2
This season — Serie A · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 50%
0%
100%
Points per game
0,5
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,5
3,5
Scored
1,0
2,5
Conceded
1,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+1,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

34% Possession 66%
11 Shots 24
4 Shots on target 6
4 Blocked shots 7
4 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 7
1 Offside 2
16 Free kicks against 10
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Parma 13. · Juventus 1. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Juventus 2 2 0 0 +3 6
2 Napoli 2 2 0 0 +2 6
3 Spal 2 2 0 0 +2 6
4 Atalanta 2 1 1 0 +4 4
5 Inter 3 1 1 1 +2 4
6 Udinese 2 1 1 0 +1 4
7 Sassuolo 2 1 1 0 +1 4
8 Roma 3 1 1 1 +0 4
9 Fiorentina 1 1 0 0 +5 3
10 Empoli 2 1 0 1 +1 3
11 Genoa 1 1 0 0 +1 3
12 Milan 2 1 0 1 +0 3
13 Parma 2 0 1 1 -1 1
14 Torino 2 0 1 1 -1 1
15 Cagliari 2 0 1 1 -2 1
16 Frosinone 2 0 1 1 -4 1
17 Bologna 3 0 1 2 -4 1
18 Sampdoria 1 0 0 1 -1 0
19 Lazio 2 0 0 2 -3 0
20 Chievo 2 0 0 2 -6 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Parma Juventus
2′
⚽ M. Mandžukić 0–1
13′
🟨 Miralem Pjanić
1–1 Y. Gervinho ⚽
33′
40′
🟨 Federico Bernardeschi
Luca Rigoni 🟨
45′
Half-time 1–1
55′
🔁 Douglas Costa
↦ F. Bernardeschi
58′
⚽ B. Matuidi 1–2
M. Mandžukić
A. Deiola 🔁
↦ L. Rigoni
60′
A. da Cruz 🔁
↦ Y. Gervinho
61′
73′
🔁 E. Can
↦ M. Pjanić
F. Ceravolo 🔁
↦ A. Di Gaudio
80′
80′
🔁 P. Dybala
↦ S. Khedira
90′
🟨 Juan Cuadrado
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Parma

4-3-3
55 L. Sepe G
18 M. Gobbi D
22 Bruno Alves D
2 S. Iacoponi D
28 R. Gagliolo D
17 A. Barillà M
32 L. Rigoni M
20 A. Di Gaudio F
5 L. Štulac M
27 Y. Gervinho F
45 R. Inglese F
Bench (9)
8 A. Deiola
7 A. da Cruz
9 F. Ceravolo
1 P. Frattali
3 F. Dimarco
13 F. Sierralta
23 M. Gazzola
56 F. Bagheria
93 M. Sprocati

Coach: R. D'Aversa

Juventus

4-3-3
1 W. Szczęsny G
19 L. Bonucci D
3 G. Chiellini D
12 Alex Sandro D
14 B. Matuidi M
6 S. Khedira M
5 M. Pjanić M
16 Juan Cuadrado M
7 Cristiano Ronaldo F
17 M. Mandžukić F
33 F. Bernardeschi M
Bench (12)
11 Douglas Costa
23 E. Can
10 P. Dybala
2 M. De Sciglio
4 M. Benatia
15 A. Barzagli
18 M. Kean
20 João Cancelo
21 C. Pinsoglio
22 M. Perin
24 D. Rugani
30 R. Bentancur

Coach: M. Allegri

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Daniele Doveri · 82 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
21,4 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.