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Ligue 1
Referee: R Buquet
Montpellier
U S U S U
3–0
Full-time
Nimes
T T U U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Montpellier Nimes
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
2,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
1,8
3,2
Scored
1,2
1,5
Conceded
0,7
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,2
This season — Ligue 1 · 7/7 matches
Win Ø 36%
43%
29%
Points per game
1,7
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
43%
57%
Both score Ø 64%
57%
71%
Average goals
2,0
3,7
Scored
1,1
1,9
Conceded
0,9
1,9
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

58% Possession 42%
19 Shots 11
6 Shots on target 3
5 Blocked shots 5
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
4 Corners 1
1 Offside 1
15 Free kicks against 18
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Montpellier 6. · Nimes 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 8 8 0 0 +21 24
2 St Etienne 8 4 3 1 +1 15
3 Lyon 8 4 2 2 +7 14
4 Marseille 7 4 1 2 +6 13
5 Lille 7 4 1 2 +5 13
6 Montpellier 7 3 3 1 +2 12
7 Toulouse 8 3 3 2 -2 12
8 Strasbourg 8 3 2 3 +3 11
9 Bordeaux 8 3 2 3 -1 11
10 Caen 8 2 4 2 -1 10
11 Angers 8 3 1 4 -1 10
12 Dijon 8 3 1 4 -3 10
13 Nice 8 3 1 4 -6 10
14 Nimes 7 2 3 2 +0 9
15 Reims 8 2 3 3 -5 9
16 Rennes 8 2 2 4 -3 8
17 Amiens 8 2 1 5 -3 7
18 Monaco 8 1 3 4 -3 6
19 Nantes 8 1 3 4 -5 6
20 Guingamp 8 1 1 6 -12 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Montpellier Nimes
Ruben Aguilar 🟨
2′
1–0 A. Oyongo
28′
42′
🟨 Herve Lybohy
45′
🟨 Anthony Briancon
45′
🟨 Moustapha Diallo
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 T. Valls
↦ M. Diallo
2–0 A. Delort
55′
Ambroise Oyongo 🟨
62′
72′
🔁 U. Bozok
↦ B. Guillaume
S. Sambia 🔁
↦ A. Delort
76′
3–0 G. Laborde
F. Mollet
78′
80′
🔁 R. Alioui
↦ R. Ripart
P. Lasne 🔁
↦ E. Skhiri
83′
P. Škuletić 🔁
↦ F. Mollet
91′
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Montpellier

3-4-1-2
40 B. Lecomte G
3 D. Congré D
5 Pedro Mendes D
8 A. Oyongo M
2 R. Aguilar M
31 N. Cozza D
14 D. Le Tallec M
25 F. Mollet M
13 E. Skhiri M
11 A. Delort F
10 G. Laborde F
Bench (7)
6 S. Sambia
7 P. Lasne
32 P. Škuletić
16 D. Bertaud
17 J. Porsan-Clemente
19 S. Camara
23 F. Píriz

Coach: M. Der Zakarian

Nimes

4-4-2
30 P. Bernardoni G
27 H. Lybohy D
2 M. Diallo M
23 A. Briançon D
10 Denis Bouanga M
12 F. Maouassa D
29 S. Alakouch D
20 R. Ripart M
22 S. Thioub M
25 B. Guillaume F
14 A. Bobichon M
Bench (7)
18 T. Valls
19 U. Bozok
7 R. Alioui
1 B. Valette
5 L. Landre
9 C. Dépres
15 G. Paquiez

Coach: B. Blaquart

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

R Buquet · 155 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,25 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.