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Serie A
Referee: Eugenio Abbattista
Frosinone
U U T U T
0–2
Full-time
Sassuolo
S U T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Frosinone Sassuolo
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
1,0
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,3
2,8
Scored
0,8
1,5
Conceded
1,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,2
This season — Serie A · 15/15 matches
Win Ø 20%
7%
33%
Points per game
0,5
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
60%
53%
Both score Ø 47%
33%
60%
Average goals
2,9
3,1
Scored
0,7
1,6
Conceded
2,2
1,5
Goal diff per game
-1,5
+0,1
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

35% Possession 65%
14 Shots 21
3 Shots on target 2
3 Blocked shots 6
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
6 Corners 5
2 Offside 1
17 Free kicks against 10
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Frosinone 19. · Sassuolo 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Juventus 16 15 1 0 +25 46
2 Napoli 15 11 2 2 +18 35
3 Inter 16 10 2 4 +15 32
4 Milan 15 7 5 3 +6 26
5 Lazio 15 7 4 4 +4 25
6 Torino 16 5 7 4 +2 22
7 Atalanta 15 6 3 6 +9 21
8 Roma 15 5 6 4 +6 21
9 Sassuolo 15 5 6 4 +2 21
10 Parma 15 6 3 6 -3 21
11 Sampdoria 15 5 5 5 +4 20
12 Fiorentina 15 4 7 4 +5 19
13 Cagliari 15 3 8 4 -4 17
14 Empoli 15 4 4 7 -7 16
15 Genoa 15 4 4 7 -10 16
16 Spal 16 4 4 8 -10 16
17 Udinese 16 3 4 9 -9 13
18 Bologna 15 2 5 8 -11 11
19 Frosinone 15 1 5 9 -22 8
20 Chievo 16 0 7 9 -20 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Frosinone Sassuolo
Raman Chibsah 🟨
23′
34′
🟨 Rogério
43′
L. Ariaudo 1–0
own goal
Half-time 1–0
F. Cassata 🔁
↦ M. Capuano
46′
47′
🟨 Stefano Sensi
Camillo Ciano 🟨
57′
58′
D. Berardi 1–1
A. Duncan
D. Soddimo 🔁
↦ J. Campbell
63′
A. Pinamonti 🔁
↦ R. Chibsah
64′
75′
🔁 M. Bourabia
↦ S. Sensi
80′
🔁 E. Brignola
↦ K. Babacar
88′
🔁 G. Magnani
↦ F. Di Francesco
Danilo Soddimo 🟨
90′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Frosinone

3-4-2-1
57 M. Sportiello G
15 L. Ariaudo D
25 M. Capuano D
17 F. Zampano M
6 E. Goldaniga D
8 R. Maiello M
66 R. Chibsah M
33 A. Beghetto M
28 C. Ciano F
29 J. Campbell F
9 D. Ciofani F
Bench (12)
24 F. Cassata
10 D. Soddimo
89 A. Pinamonti
2 P. Ghiglione
3 C. Molinaro
5 M. Gori
11 S. Perica
21 P. Sammarco
22 F. Bardi
23 N. Brighenti
27 B. Salamon
32 L. Krajnc

Coach: M. Longo

Sassuolo

4-3-3
47 A. Consigli G
31 G. Ferrari D
2 Marlon D
21 Pol Lirola D
6 Rogério M
32 A. Duncan M
12 S. Sensi M
73 M. Locatelli M
30 K. Babacar F
25 D. Berardi F
34 F. Di Francesco F
Bench (11)
68 M. Bourabia
99 E. Brignola
23 G. Magnani
4 F. Magnanelli
5 M. Lemos
10 A. Matri
13 F. Peluso
28 G. Satalino
29 M. Trotta
39 C. Dell'Orco
79 G. Pegolo

Coach: R. De Zerbi

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.