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Eredivisie

Referee: Bernie Raymond Blom

Ajax

S S S S S

8–0

Full-time

De Graafschap

T T T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ajax De Graafschap

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

100%

17%

Points per game

3,0

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

83%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

4,5

3,0

Scored

4,0

0,8

Conceded

0,5

2,2

Goal diff per game

+3,5

-1,3

This season — Eredivisie · 15/15 matches

Win Ø 54%

87%

20%

Points per game

2,7

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

73%

60%

Both score Ø 34%

27%

40%

Average goals

3,7

3,0

Scored

3,3

0,8

Conceded

0,5

2,2

Goal diff per game

+2,8

-1,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

73% Possession 27%

35 Shots 3

17 Shots on target 2

5 Blocked shots 0

2 Goalkeeper saves 9

14 Corners 2

3 Free kicks against 11

0 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Ajax 2. · De Graafschap 18. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	16	15	0	1	+50	45
2	Ajax	15	13	1	1	+42	40
3	Feyenoord	15	11	2	2	+17	35
4	Utrecht	14	7	4	3	+8	25
5	AZ Alkmaar	16	7	4	5	+6	25
6	Heracles	15	7	2	6	-3	23
7	Heerenveen	16	5	5	6	-1	20
8	VVV Venlo	16	5	5	6	-5	20
9	Vitesse	14	5	4	5	+1	19
10	Den Haag	16	5	4	7	-11	19
11	For Sittard	15	4	4	7	-3	16
12	Willem II	16	4	4	8	-10	16
13	Excelsior	16	4	4	8	-19	16
14	Zwolle	16	4	3	9	-11	15
15	Groningen	14	4	2	8	-5	14
16	FC Emmen	15	3	5	7	-16	14
17	NAC Breda	16	3	3	10	-19	12
18	De Graafschap	15	3	2	10	-21	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	8	8	0	0	+32	24
2	Feyenoord	8	8	0	0	+15	24
3	Ajax	7	6	1	0	+22	19
4	Heracles	8	6	0	2	+8	18
5	Utrecht	7	5	1	1	+11	16
6	VVV Venlo	7	3	3	1	+5	12
7	AZ Alkmaar	8	3	3	2	+4	12
8	For Sittard	8	3	2	3	+2	11
9	Vitesse	6	3	2	1	+2	11
10	NAC Breda	8	3	1	4	-3	10
11	De Graafschap	8	3	0	5	-6	9
12	Excelsior	8	2	3	3	-7	9
13	Den Haag	7	2	2	3	-6	8
14	Groningen	7	2	1	4	+0	7
15	FC Emmen	8	1	3	4	-6	6
16	Heerenveen	8	1	3	4	-7	6
17	Willem II	8	1	2	5	-6	5
18	Zwolle	9	1	2	6	-7	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	8	7	0	1	+20	21
2	PSV Eindhoven	8	7	0	1	+18	21
3	Heerenveen	8	4	2	2	+6	14
4	AZ Alkmaar	8	4	1	3	+2	13
5	Feyenoord	7	3	2	2	+2	11
6	Willem II	8	3	2	3	-4	11
7	Den Haag	9	3	2	4	-5	11
8	Zwolle	7	3	1	3	-4	10
9	Utrecht	7	2	3	2	-3	9
10	Vitesse	8	2	2	4	-1	8
11	VVV Venlo	9	2	2	5	-10	8
12	FC Emmen	7	2	2	3	-10	8
13	Groningen	7	2	1	4	-5	7
14	Excelsior	8	2	1	5	-12	7
15	For Sittard	7	1	2	4	-5	5
16	Heracles	7	1	2	4	-11	5
17	De Graafschap	7	0	2	5	-15	2
18	NAC Breda	8	0	2	6	-16	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.