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Primeira Liga
Referee: Joao Pedro Pinheiro
Maritimo
T T T T U
0–1
Full-time
Benfica
T T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Maritimo Benfica
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
0%
67%
Points per game
0,2
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
17%
50%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
1,8
2,7
Scored
0,3
1,7
Conceded
1,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
-1,2
+0,7
This season — Primeira Liga · 12/12 matches
Win Ø 46%
25%
67%
Points per game
0,9
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 38%
25%
50%
Both score Ø 38%
33%
42%
Average goals
1,8
2,9
Scored
0,6
2,0
Conceded
1,3
0,9
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+1,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

41% Possession 59%
6 Shots 14
0 Shots on target 5
2 Blocked shots 2
4 Goalkeeper saves 0
4 Corners 7
3 Offside 2
19 Free kicks against 13
5 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Maritimo 15. · Benfica 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Porto 13 11 0 2 +20 33
2 Sp Braga 13 9 3 1 +16 30
3 Sp Lisbon 12 9 1 2 +13 28
4 Benfica 12 8 2 2 +13 26
5 Guimaraes 13 6 4 3 +5 22
6 Rio Ave 13 5 4 4 +1 19
7 Belenenses 13 4 7 2 +1 19
8 Moreirense 13 6 1 6 -5 19
9 Santa Clara 13 5 2 6 +0 17
10 Vitoria Setubal 13 5 2 6 +0 17
11 Portimonense 13 5 2 6 -6 17
12 Boavista 13 3 4 6 -5 13
13 Nacional 12 3 4 5 -8 13
14 Aves 13 3 2 8 -8 11
15 Maritimo 12 3 2 7 -8 11
16 Feirense 13 2 4 7 -12 10
17 Tondela 13 2 3 8 -6 9
18 Chaves 13 2 1 10 -11 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Maritimo Benfica
Jorge Correa 🟨
25′
Amir Abedzadeh 🟨
45′
Half-time 0–1
47′
Jonas 0–1
Edgar Costa 🔁
↦ Gamboa
56′
Zainadine Júnior 🟨
57′
Fabricio Baiano 🟨
65′
Danny 🟨
66′
Joel 🔁
↦ Danny
69′
70′
🟨 Jardel
74′
🔁 Gabriel
↦ A. Živković
81′
🔁 H. Seferović
↦ Jonas
L. Barrera 🔁
↦ J. Correa
85′
87′
🟨 Franco Cervi
90′
🟨 André Almeida
90′
🔁 João Félix
↦ F. Cervi
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Maritimo

4-3-3
1 A. Abedzadeh G
2 Bebeto D
5 Zainadine Junior D
17 Rúben Ferreira D
6 Lucas Áfrico D
10 Danny M
44 J. Vuković M
8 J. Correa M
27 Fabricio Baiano M
21 Gamboa M
9 Rodrigo Pinho F
Bench (7)
12 Edgar Costa
95 Joel
23 L. Barrera
4 Marcão
15 Jean Cleber
31 Nanu
94 Charles

Coach: Petit

Benfica

4-3-3
99 O. Vlachodimos G
34 André Almeida D
33 Jardel D
3 Álex Grimaldo D
6 Rúben Dias D
5 L. Fejsa M
21 Pizzi M
17 A. Živković M
11 F. Cervi F
83 Gedson Fernandes M
10 Jonas F
Bench (7)
8 Gabriel
14 H. Seferović
79 João Félix
1 M. Svilar
16 Alfa Semedo
20 F. Krovinović
30 N. Castillo

Coach: Rui Vitória

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Joao Pedro Pinheiro · 221 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
28,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.