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Ligue 1

Referee: Antony Gautier

Marseille

T T U S S

0–1

Full-time

Nice

S S T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Marseille Nice

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,3

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

50%

83%

Both score Ø 83%

83%

Average goals

2,3

4,0

Scored

1,2

2,7

Conceded

1,2

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+1,3

This season — Ligue 1 · 12/12 matches

Win Ø 38%

33%

42%

Points per game

1,3

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

42%

75%

Both score Ø 71%

58%

83%

Average goals

2,6

3,6

Scored

1,5

2,2

Conceded

1,1

1,4

Goal diff per game

+0,4

+0,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

56% Possession 44%

14 Shots 9

3 Shots on target 4

4 Blocked shots 1

3 Goalkeeper saves 3

7 Corners 5

1 Offside 1

0 Free kicks against 0

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Marseille 12. · Nice 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	13	11	2	0	+25	35
2	Caen	13	8	0	5	+0	24
3	Lyon	12	6	4	2	+9	22
4	St Etienne	12	7	1	4	+3	22
5	Angers	13	6	4	3	+3	22
6	Lorient	13	5	5	3	+4	20
7	Rennes	13	5	5	3	+3	20
8	Monaco	12	5	5	2	+1	20
9	Nantes	13	6	1	6	-2	19
10	Nice	12	5	3	4	+9	18
11	Guingamp	13	4	4	5	-4	16
12	Marseille	12	4	3	5	+5	15
13	Reims	13	4	3	6	-2	15
14	Bordeaux	12	3	5	4	-4	14
15	Bastia	13	4	2	7	-5	14
16	Lille	13	2	7	4	-1	13
17	Montpellier	13	3	3	7	-5	12
18	Gazelec FC Ajaccio	13	3	3	7	-6	12
19	Toulouse	13	1	6	6	-14	9
20	Troyes	13	0	4	9	-19	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	6	5	1	0	+14	16
2	Caen	7	5	0	2	+0	15
3	Lorient	7	4	2	1	+7	14
4	St Etienne	6	4	1	1	+5	13
5	Bastia	6	4	0	2	+4	12
6	Lyon	6	3	2	1	+5	11
7	Bordeaux	6	3	2	1	+4	11
8	Reims	7	3	1	3	+2	10
9	Angers	7	2	4	1	+0	10
10	Guingamp	6	2	3	1	+2	9
11	Montpellier	7	3	0	4	-1	9
12	Nantes	6	3	0	3	-1	9
13	Marseille	6	2	2	2	+7	8
14	Gazelec FC Ajaccio	6	2	2	2	+1	8
15	Lille	7	2	2	3	+0	8
16	Rennes	6	2	2	2	-1	8
17	Nice	6	2	1	3	+3	7
18	Toulouse	6	1	4	1	+0	7
19	Monaco	6	1	3	2	-3	6
20	Troyes	7	0	3	4	-5	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	7	6	1	0	+11	19
2	Monaco	6	4	2	0	+4	14
3	Rennes	7	3	3	1	+4	12
4	Angers	6	4	0	2	+3	12
5	Nice	6	3	2	1	+6	11
6	Lyon	6	3	2	1	+4	11
7	Nantes	7	3	1	3	-1	10
8	Caen	6	3	0	3	+0	9
9	St Etienne	6	3	0	3	-2	9
10	Marseille	6	2	1	3	-2	7
11	Guingamp	7	2	1	4	-6	7
12	Lorient	6	1	3	2	-3	6
13	Lille	6	0	5	1	-1	5
14	Reims	6	1	2	3	-4	5
15	Gazelec FC Ajaccio	7	1	1	5	-7	4
16	Montpellier	6	0	3	3	-4	3
17	Bordeaux	6	0	3	3	-8	3
18	Bastia	7	0	2	5	-9	2
19	Toulouse	7	0	2	5	-14	2
20	Troyes	6	0	1	5	-14	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.