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Ligue 1
Referee: Benoît Millot
Bordeaux
S T U S T
3–1
Full-time
Monaco
U U U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bordeaux Monaco
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,2
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,2
2,8
Scored
1,2
1,7
Conceded
2,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,5
This season — Ligue 1 · 12/12 matches
Win Ø 34%
25%
42%
Points per game
1,2
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
42%
42%
Both score Ø 58%
58%
58%
Average goals
2,7
2,6
Scored
1,2
1,3
Conceded
1,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

38% Possession 62%
9 Shots 14
4 Shots on target 7
2 Blocked shots 2
6 Goalkeeper saves 0
4 Corners 10
2 Offside 5
0 Free kicks against 0
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Bordeaux 14. · Monaco 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 13 11 2 0 +25 35
2 Caen 13 8 0 5 +0 24
3 Lyon 12 6 4 2 +9 22
4 St Etienne 12 7 1 4 +3 22
5 Angers 13 6 4 3 +3 22
6 Nice 13 6 3 4 +10 21
7 Lorient 13 5 5 3 +4 20
8 Rennes 13 5 5 3 +3 20
9 Monaco 12 5 5 2 +1 20
10 Nantes 13 6 1 6 -2 19
11 Guingamp 13 4 4 5 -4 16
12 Marseille 13 4 3 6 +4 15
13 Reims 13 4 3 6 -2 15
14 Bordeaux 12 3 5 4 -4 14
15 Bastia 13 4 2 7 -5 14
16 Lille 13 2 7 4 -1 13
17 Montpellier 13 3 3 7 -5 12
18 Gazelec FC Ajaccio 13 3 3 7 -6 12
19 Toulouse 13 1 6 6 -14 9
20 Troyes 13 0 4 9 -19 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Bordeaux Monaco
23′
Hélder Costa 0–1
J. Prior 🔁
↦ C. Carrasso
26′
André Poko 🟨
30′
1–1 N. Maurice-Belay
36′
2–1 C. Yamberé
40′
Half-time 3–1
3–1 J. Plašil
E. Crivelli
48′
54′
🔁 S. El Shaarawy
↦ Hélder Costa
62′
🔁 Boschilia
↦ Ricardo Carvalho
Wahbi Khazri 🟨
65′
66′
🟨 Stephan El Shaarawy
A. Ounas 🔁
↦ N. Maurice-Belay
70′
72′
🟨 Fabinho
75′
🔁 A. Touré
↦ M. Pašalić
C. Diabaté 🔁
↦ E. Crivelli
86′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Bordeaux

16 C. Carrasso G
3 D. Contento D
6 L. Sané D
5 N. Pallois D
21 C. Yamberé D
18 J. Plašil M
19 N. Maurice-Belay M
24 W. Khazri F
17 A. Biyogo Poko M
10 H. Saivet M
27 E. Crivelli F
Bench (7)
30 J. Prior
33 A. Ounas
14 C. Diabaté
4 Pablo
7 A. Traoré
20 Jussiê
26 F. Guilbert

Monaco

1 D. Subašić G
6 Ricardo Carvalho
24 A. Raggi D
21 U. Echiejile D
2 Fabinho M
28 J. Toulalan D
8 João Moutinho M
18 Hélder Costa F
20 M. Pašalić M
10 Bernardo Silva M
11 G. Carrillo F
Bench (7)
22 S. El Shaarawy
29 Boschilia
38 A. Touré
13 Wallace
16 P. Nardi
25 Rony Lopes
33 Y. Andzouana

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Benoît Millot · 80 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
19,4 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.