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Premier League

Referee: M Oliver

Man City

S S S S S

2–5

Full-time

Leicester

S T T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Man City Leicester

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 75%

100%

50%

Points per game

3,0

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 84%

100%

67%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

4,3

3,5

Scored

4,0

1,7

Conceded

0,3

1,8

Goal diff per game

+3,7

-0,2

This season — Premier League · 1/2 matches

Win Ø 100%

100%

Points per game

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 100%

100%

Both score Ø 75%

100%

50%

Average goals

4,0

4,5

Scored

3,0

3,5

Conceded

1,0

Goal diff per game

+2,0

+2,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

71% Possession 29%

16 Shots 7

5 Shots on target 7

4 Blocked shots 0

2 Goalkeeper saves 3

3 Corners 4

2 Offside 3

13 Free kicks against 8

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Everton	3	3	0	0	+5	9
2	Leicester	2	2	0	0	+5	6
3	Arsenal	2	2	0	0	+4	6
4	Liverpool	2	2	0	0	+3	6
5	Crystal Palace	3	2	0	1	+2	6
6	Leeds	3	2	0	1	+1	6
7	Tottenham	3	1	1	1	+2	4
8	Chelsea	3	1	1	1	+0	4
9	Newcastle	3	1	1	1	-1	4
10	Brighton	3	1	0	2	+0	3
11	Wolves	2	1	0	1	+0	3
12	Man United	2	1	0	1	-1	3
13	Southampton	3	1	0	2	-3	3
14	West Brom	3	0	1	2	-6	1
15	Burnley	2	0	0	2	-3	0
16	West Ham	2	0	0	2	-3	0
17	Fulham	2	0	0	2	-4	0
18	Sheffield United	3	0	0	3	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Everton	1	1	0	0	+3	3
2	Leicester	1	1	0	0	+2	3
3	Liverpool	1	1	0	0	+1	3
4	Leeds	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Arsenal	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Crystal Palace	2	1	0	1	+0	3
7	Tottenham	2	0	1	1	-1	1
8	West Brom	2	0	1	1	-3	1
9	Burnley	1	0	0	1	-1	0
10	Wolves	1	0	0	1	-2	0
11	Man United	1	0	0	1	-2	0
12	West Ham	1	0	0	1	-2	0
13	Chelsea	1	0	0	1	-2	0
14	Brighton	2	0	0	2	-3	0
15	Southampton	1	0	0	1	-3	0
16	Sheffield United	2	0	0	2	-3	0
17	Newcastle	1	0	0	1	-3	0
18	Fulham	1	0	0	1	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Everton	2	2	0	0	+2	6
2	Chelsea	2	1	1	0	+2	4
3	Newcastle	2	1	1	0	+2	4
4	Tottenham	1	1	0	0	+3	3
5	Brighton	1	1	0	0	+3	3
6	Arsenal	1	1	0	0	+3	3
7	Leicester	1	1	0	0	+3	3
8	Crystal Palace	1	1	0	0	+2	3
9	Wolves	1	1	0	0	+2	3
10	Liverpool	1	1	0	0	+2	3
11	Man United	1	1	0	0	+1	3
12	Leeds	2	1	0	1	+0	3
13	Southampton	2	1	0	1	+0	3
14	Fulham	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	West Ham	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Sheffield United	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Burnley	1	0	0	1	-2	0
18	West Brom	1	0	0	1	-3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.