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Premier League

Referee: L Mason

Leicester

T S T T S

4–2

Full-time

Burnley

S U U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Leicester Burnley

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,2

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

50%

17%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

2,8

2,0

Scored

1,2

Conceded

1,7

0,8

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+0,3

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

67% Possession 33%

14 Shots 16

6 Shots on target 5

6 Blocked shots 3

3 Goalkeeper saves 3

15 Corners 4

0 Offside 1

11 Free kicks against 13

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	T	+/−	P
1	Everton	2	2	0	+4	6
2	Arsenal	2	2	0	+4	6
3	Liverpool	2	2	0	+3	6
4	Crystal Palace	2	2	0	+3	6
5	Leicester	1	1	0	+3	3
6	Tottenham	2	1	1	+2	3
7	Wolves	1	1	0	+2	3
8	Brighton	2	1	1	+1	3
9	Leeds	2	1	1	+0	3
10	Chelsea	2	1	1	+0	3
11	Newcastle	2	1	1	-1	3
12	Man United	1	0	1	-2	0
13	Sheffield United	1	0	1	-2	0
14	West Ham	2	0	2	-3	0
15	Fulham	2	0	2	-4	0
16	Southampton	2	0	2	-4	0
17	West Brom	2	0	2	-6	0

#	Team	K	V	T	+/−	P
1	Everton	1	1	0	+3	3
2	Liverpool	1	1	0	+1	3
3	Leeds	1	1	0	+1	3
4	Arsenal	1	1	0	+1	3
5	Crystal Palace	1	1	0	+1	3
6	Tottenham	1	0	1	-1	0
7	Brighton	1	0	1	-2	0
8	Man United	1	0	1	-2	0
9	West Ham	1	0	1	-2	0
10	Sheffield United	1	0	1	-2	0
11	Chelsea	1	0	1	-2	0
12	Southampton	1	0	1	-3	0
13	Newcastle	1	0	1	-3	0
14	Fulham	1	0	1	-3	0
15	West Brom	1	0	1	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	T	+/−	P
1	Tottenham	1	1	0	+3	3
2	Brighton	1	1	0	+3	3
3	Arsenal	1	1	0	+3	3
4	Leicester	1	1	0	+3	3
5	Chelsea	1	1	0	+2	3
6	Crystal Palace	1	1	0	+2	3
7	Newcastle	1	1	0	+2	3
8	Wolves	1	1	0	+2	3
9	Liverpool	1	1	0	+2	3
10	Everton	1	1	0	+1	3
11	Leeds	1	0	1	-1	0
12	Fulham	1	0	1	-1	0
13	West Ham	1	0	1	-1	0
14	Southampton	1	0	1	-1	0
15	West Brom	1	0	1	-3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.