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Ligue 1
Referee: Francois Letexier
Marseille
U T S T U
3–0
Full-time
Nancy
S T S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Marseille Nancy
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
1,0
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 17%
17%
17%
Average goals
1,5
2,5
Scored
0,3
1,3
Conceded
1,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,2
This season — Ligue 1 · 15/15 matches
Win Ø 27%
27%
27%
Points per game
1,2
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
40%
27%
Both score Ø 30%
40%
20%
Average goals
2,0
2,1
Scored
0,9
0,8
Conceded
1,1
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

64% Possession 36%
19 Shots 7
9 Shots on target 2
2 Blocked shots 0
2 Goalkeeper saves 5
6 Corners 1
3 Offside 3
14 Free kicks against 8
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Marseille 12. · Nancy 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Monaco 16 11 3 2 +33 36
2 Nice 15 11 3 1 +17 36
3 Paris SG 16 11 2 3 +19 35
4 Rennes 16 8 3 5 -1 27
5 Guingamp 16 7 5 4 +6 26
6 Lyon 15 8 1 6 +10 25
7 Bordeaux 16 6 6 4 +2 24
8 Toulouse 15 6 4 5 +5 22
9 St Etienne 16 5 7 4 +2 22
10 Angers 16 5 4 7 -3 19
11 Montpellier 16 4 7 5 -5 19
12 Marseille 15 4 6 5 -4 18
13 Metz 15 5 3 7 -13 18
14 Lille 16 5 2 9 -6 17
15 Dijon 16 3 7 6 -3 16
16 Nancy 15 4 4 7 -7 16
17 Caen 16 4 3 9 -14 15
18 Bastia 16 3 5 8 -8 14
19 Nantes 16 3 4 9 -17 13
20 Lorient 16 3 3 10 -13 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Marseille Nancy
24′
🟨 Tobias Badila
Half-time 1–0
1–0 F. Thauvin
M. Lopez
46′
61′
🔁 M. Dalé
↦ Y. Hadji
70′
🔁 Y. Ait Bennasser
↦ A. Diarra
2–0 B. Gomis
F. Thauvin
80′
81′
🔁 A. Robic
↦ S. N’Guessan
82′
🟥 Benoît Pedretti
S. Khaoui 🔁
↦ M. Lopez
83′
B. Sarr 🔁
↦ F. Thauvin
89′
Bouna Sarr 🟨
90′
A. Leya 🔁
↦ B. Gomis
91′
3–0 C. N'Jie
A. Leya
93′
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Marseille

4-3-3
16 Y. Pelé G
24 R. Fanni D
6 Rolando D
15 T. Hubočan D
2 H. Sakai D
19 W. Vainqueur M
26 F. Thauvin M
27 M. Lopez M
29 A. Zambo Anguissa
18 B. Gomis F
14 C. N'Jie F
Bench (7)
20 S. Khaoui
17 B. Sarr
22 A. Leya
1 B. Samba
3 Dória
4 K. Rekik
23 Z. Machach

Coach: R. Garcia

Nancy

4-3-3
1 S. Chernik G
14 J. Cuffaut D
3 T. Badila D
2 C. Lenglet D
4 M. Diagne D
5 A. Diarra M
25 B. Pedretti M
10 I. Dia M
19 L. Puyo M
13 S. N’Guessan M
15 Y. Hadji F
Bench (7)
9 M. Dalé
6 Y. Ait Bennasser
7 A. Robic
23 A. Koura
24 E. Cabaco
26 V. Muratori
30 A. Menay

Coach: P. Correa

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Francois Letexier · 69 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.