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Pro League

Referee: Joeri Van De Velde

Genk

T S U S T

1–2

Full-time

Lokeren

T U U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Genk Lokeren

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,7

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,8

2,2

Scored

1,2

0,8

Conceded

1,7

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,5

This season — Pro League · 16/16 matches

Win Ø 35%

44%

25%

Points per game

1,5

0,9

Over 2.5 Ø 53%

56%

50%

Both score Ø 44%

50%

38%

Average goals

2,8

2,1

Scored

1,3

0,8

Conceded

1,6

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

55% Possession 45%

16 Shots 8

7 Shots on target 3

0 Goalkeeper saves 6

6 Corners 2

2 Offside 1

11 Free kicks against 11

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Genk 7. · Lokeren 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Standard	17	8	4	5	+13	28
2	Waregem	12	9	1	2	+13	28
3	Anderlecht	12	8	2	2	+18	26
4	Gent	12	8	2	2	+12	26
5	Mechelen	17	7	4	6	-1	25
6	Kortrijk	17	6	6	5	-1	24
7	Genk	16	7	3	6	-5	24
8	Oostende	11	7	2	2	+15	23
9	Club Brugge	11	7	2	2	+15	23
10	Charleroi	12	6	4	2	+3	22
11	Eupen	17	4	4	9	-13	16
12	Lokeren	16	4	3	9	-8	15
13	Beveren	17	3	6	8	-12	15
14	St Truiden	17	3	4	10	-9	13
15	Royal Excel Mouscron	17	3	2	12	-19	11
16	Westerlo	17	2	5	10	-21	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Gent	7	7	0	0	+13	21
2	Standard	8	6	1	1	+15	19
3	Genk	8	6	1	1	+5	19
4	Oostende	7	5	2	0	+15	17
5	Mechelen	9	5	1	3	+4	16
6	Kortrijk	8	4	3	1	+6	15
7	Club Brugge	6	4	2	0	+11	14
8	Waregem	5	4	1	0	+7	13
9	Charleroi	6	4	1	1	+2	13
10	Beveren	9	3	4	2	+1	13
11	Lokeren	8	4	1	3	+1	13
12	Anderlecht	5	4	0	1	+13	12
13	St Truiden	9	3	3	3	+1	12
14	Eupen	8	3	3	2	-1	12
15	Westerlo	8	1	3	4	-4	6
16	Royal Excel Mouscron	8	1	1	6	-11	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Waregem	7	5	0	2	+6	15
2	Anderlecht	7	4	2	1	+5	14
3	Club Brugge	5	3	0	2	+4	9
4	Charleroi	6	2	3	1	+1	9
5	Standard	9	2	3	4	-2	9
6	Mechelen	8	2	3	3	-5	9
7	Kortrijk	9	2	3	4	-7	9
8	Royal Excel Mouscron	9	2	1	6	-8	7
9	Oostende	4	2	0	2	+0	6
10	Gent	5	1	2	2	-1	5
11	Genk	8	1	2	5	-10	5
12	Westerlo	9	1	2	6	-17	5
13	Eupen	9	1	1	7	-12	4
14	Lokeren	8	0	2	6	-9	2
15	Beveren	8	0	2	6	-13	2
16	St Truiden	8	0	1	7	-10	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.