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Pro League
Referee: Serge Gumienny
Charleroi
S U T S S
1–3
Full-time
Standard
T T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Charleroi Standard
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,8
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,3
3,5
Scored
1,3
2,2
Conceded
1,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,8
This season — Pro League · 11/16 matches
Win Ø 50%
55%
44%
Points per game
2,0
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 51%
45%
56%
Both score Ø 45%
45%
44%
Average goals
1,9
2,8
Scored
1,2
1,8
Conceded
0,7
1,1
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

44% Possession 56%
4 Shots 7
2 Shots on target 5
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
1 Corners 2
1 Offside 2
13 Free kicks against 9
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Charleroi 10. · Standard 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Waregem 12 9 1 2 +13 28
2 Anderlecht 12 8 2 2 +18 26
3 Gent 12 8 2 2 +12 26
4 Standard 16 7 4 5 +11 25
5 Mechelen 17 7 4 6 -1 25
6 Kortrijk 17 6 6 5 -1 24
7 Genk 16 7 3 6 -5 24
8 Oostende 11 7 2 2 +15 23
9 Club Brugge 11 7 2 2 +15 23
10 Charleroi 11 6 4 1 +5 22
11 Eupen 17 4 4 9 -13 16
12 Lokeren 16 4 3 9 -8 15
13 Beveren 17 3 6 8 -12 15
14 St Truiden 17 3 4 10 -9 13
15 Royal Excel Mouscron 17 3 2 12 -19 11
16 Westerlo 17 2 5 10 -21 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Charleroi Standard
1–0 D. Bakar
M. Fall
12′
23′
Orlando Sá 1–1
Edmilson Junior
Half-time 1–1
G. Hendrickx 🔁
↦ D. Marcq
46′
47′
🟨 Corentin Fiore
51′
I. Belfodil 1–2
57′
Orlando Sá 1–3
I. Belfodil
C. Bedia 🔁
↦ D. Bakar
62′
Amara Baby 🟨
63′
Mamadou Fall 🟨
64′
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Charleroi

4-2-3-1
1 N. Penneteau G
41 F. N'Ganga D
8 Javi Martos D
23 S. Willems D
25 D. Marcq M
18 A. Baby M
13 C. Diandy M
19 Clinton Mata M
77 M. Fall -
21 D. Bakar F
10 D. Pollet F
Bench (7)
22 G. Hendrickx
99 C. Bedia
5 B. Boulenger
14 C. Benavente
15 V. Baume
17 S. Marinos
24 D. Dessoleil

Coach: F. Mazzù

Standard

4-4-2
28 G. Hubert G
13 A. Scholz D
34 K. Laifis D
24 C. Fiore D
32 C. Fai D
21 E. Enoh M
23 A. Trebel M
22 Edmilson Junior M
70 Orlando Sá F
99 I. Belfodil F
14 I. Mbenza F
Bench (7)
1 J. Gillet
2 R. Goreux
9 R. Emond
12 B. Badibanga
31 William
33 M. Kosanović
44 I. Cissé

Coach: A. Janković

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.