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Ligue 1
Referee: Johan Hamel
Bordeaux
S S U S T
3–0
Full-time
Guingamp
U T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bordeaux Guingamp
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,8
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,3
2,7
Scored
1,5
0,8
Conceded
0,8
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-1,0
This season — Ligue 1 · 25/25 matches
Win Ø 36%
36%
36%
Points per game
1,4
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 40%
40%
40%
Both score Ø 50%
44%
56%
Average goals
2,4
2,4
Scored
1,2
1,2
Conceded
1,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,1
+0,0
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

59% Possession 41%
21 Shots 14
7 Shots on target 4
6 Blocked shots 2
4 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 6
1 Offside 4
14 Free kicks against 17
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Bordeaux 7. · Guingamp 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Monaco 26 18 5 3 +52 59
2 Nice 26 16 8 2 +22 56
3 Paris SG 25 17 4 4 +32 55
4 Lyon 24 13 1 10 +16 40
5 St Etienne 25 10 9 6 +11 39
6 Marseille 26 11 6 9 +4 39
7 Bordeaux 25 9 9 7 -2 36
8 Guingamp 25 9 7 9 +0 34
9 Toulouse 25 9 6 10 +3 33
10 Rennes 26 8 9 9 -6 33
11 Angers 26 8 6 12 -11 30
12 Nantes 25 8 6 11 -15 30
13 Metz 25 8 6 11 -20 30
14 Montpellier 25 7 8 10 -6 29
15 Lille 26 8 5 13 -8 29
16 Dijon 25 6 9 10 -3 27
17 Nancy 25 7 6 12 -15 27
18 Caen 25 7 4 14 -18 25
19 Bastia 25 5 8 12 -11 23
20 Lorient 26 6 4 16 -25 22

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Bordeaux Guingamp
1–0 F. Kamano
Y. Sankhare
13′
19′
🟨 Dorian Lévêque
Valentín Vada 🟨
23′
25′
🟨 Jonathan Martins Pereira
Vukašin Jovanović 🟨
26′
2–0 N. Pallois
Malcom
43′
Half-time 2–0
46′
🔁 M. Coco
↦ N. Benezet
46′
🔁 T. Giresse
↦ E. Didot
51′
🟨 Mathieu Bodmer
59′
🟨 Jonathan Martins Pereira
59′
🟥 Jonathan Martins Pereira
J. Plašil 🔁
↦ V. Vada
68′
3–0 G. Laborde
F. Kamano
71′
J. Ménez 🔁
↦ G. Laborde
75′
76′
🔁 B. Sankoh
↦ D. Lévêque
A. Ounas 🔁
↦ Malcom
84′
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Bordeaux

4-3-3
16 C. Carrasso G
3 D. Contento D
5 N. Pallois D
2 M. Gajić D
4 V. Jovanović D
14 J. Toulalan D
13 Y. Sankhare M
23 V. Vada M
24 G. Laborde F
25 Malcom F
11 F. Kamano F
Bench (7)
18 J. Plašil
7 J. Ménez
17 A. Ounas
6 I. Lewczuk
8 M. Arambarri
21 T. Pellenard
30 J. Prior

Coach: J. Gourvennec

Guingamp

4-3-3
1 K. Johnsson G
27 M. Bodmer D
22 J. Martins-Pereira D
29 C. Kerbrat D
7 D. Lévêque D
17 E. Didot M
5 M. Diallo M
12 N. De Pauw F
8 L. Deaux M
10 N. Benezet M
19 Y. Salibur M
Bench (7)
24 M. Coco
26 T. Giresse
6 B. Sankoh
2 J. Ikoko
9 A. Mendy
16 T. Guivarch
21 L. Blas

Coach: A. Kombouare

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Johan Hamel · 65 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
19,0 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,34 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.