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Eredivisie
Referee: Allard Lindhout
2–2
Full-time
Groningen
S U U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sparta Rotterdam Groningen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
0%
17%
Points per game
0,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
50%
17%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,0
2,2
Scored
1,0
1,2
Conceded
2,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+0,2
This season — Eredivisie · 22/21 matches
Win Ø 21%
18%
24%
Points per game
0,8
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 49%
55%
43%
Both score Ø 58%
64%
52%
Average goals
3,1
2,7
Scored
1,3
1,3
Conceded
1,8
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–2

54% Possession 46%
16 Shots 14
6 Shots on target 7
6 Blocked shots 4
5 Goalkeeper saves 4
9 Corners 7
4 Offside 1
15 Free kicks against 10
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Sparta Rotterdam 17. · Groningen 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Feyenoord 22 18 3 1 +46 57
2 Ajax 22 16 4 2 +32 52
3 PSV Eindhoven 23 15 7 1 +28 52
4 Twente 23 9 7 7 +2 34
5 AZ Alkmaar 21 8 9 4 +7 33
6 Vitesse 22 9 6 7 +5 33
7 Utrecht 20 9 6 5 +5 33
8 Heerenveen 21 9 5 7 +11 32
9 Heracles 23 7 7 9 -3 28
10 Willem II 23 6 8 9 -8 26
11 Nijmegen 23 6 7 10 -16 25
12 Groningen 21 5 8 8 -3 23
13 Zwolle 23 6 5 12 -22 23
14 Roda 23 3 11 9 -14 20
15 Go Ahead Eagles 23 5 4 14 -16 19
16 Excelsior 23 4 7 12 -19 19
17 Sparta Rotterdam 22 4 6 12 -12 18
18 Den Haag 22 5 2 15 -23 17

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sparta Rotterdam Groningen
1–0 P. van Moorsel
8′
2–0 Iván Calero
M. Pusic
17′
21′
R. Jenssen 2–1
44′
M. Mahi 2–2
Half-time 2–2
52′
🟥 Juninho Bacuna
R. Sanusi 🔁
↦ D. Mendes da Silva
53′
54′
🔁 T. Hiariej
↦ B. Linssen
62′
🔁 A. Sørloth
↦ S. Tibbling
T. Verhaar 🔁
↦ Iván Calero
71′
M. Pogba 🔁
↦ Jerson Cabral
73′
80′
🔁 S. Memišević
↦ A. Sørloth
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Sparta Rotterdam

4-3-3
1 R. Kortsmit G
5 M. Breuer D
6 B. Vriends D
8 M. Dijkstra M
2 S. Floranus D
3 R. van Drongelen D
4 D. Mendes da Silva M
10 P. van Moorsel M
7 Jerson Cabral F
9 M. Pusic F
11 Iván Calero M
Bench (12)
16 R. Sanusi
21 T. Verhaar
19 M. Pogba
22 L. Brogno
18 Z. El Azzouzi
17 S. Spierings
20 M. Verrips
12 J. Saksela
30 R. Kieboom
13 R. Ketting
14 D. Dumfries
15 K. Dougall

Coach: A. Pastoor

Groningen

4-4-2
1 S. Padt G
6 E. Reijnen D
3 K. Larsen D
25 D. Payne D
8 R. Jenssen M
22 S. Tibbling M
20 Y. van Nieff M
12 J. Bacuna M
11 B. Linssen F
14 M. Mahi M
45 O. Idrissi F
Bench (9)
24 T. Hiariej
13 A. Sørloth
5 S. Memišević
2 J. Davidson
16 S. van der Lei
17 Jesper Drost
30 P. van der Vlag
35 G. Bijl
36 A. Hrustic

Coach: E. Faber

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Allard Lindhout · 108 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,7 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
19,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.