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Eredivisie

Referee: Kevin Blom

Vitesse

S U S S T

0–1

Full-time

Ajax

S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Vitesse Ajax

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

50%

83%

Points per game

1,7

2,7

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

2,8

2,3

Scored

1,5

2,0

Conceded

1,3

0,3

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+1,7

This season — Eredivisie · 22/22 matches

Win Ø 57%

41%

73%

Points per game

1,5

2,4

Over 2.5 Ø 48%

50%

45%

Both score Ø 55%

68%

41%

Average goals

2,7

Scored

1,5

2,1

Conceded

1,2

0,6

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+1,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

45% Possession 55%

12 Shots 11

5 Shots on target 6

2 Blocked shots 1

5 Goalkeeper saves 4

5 Corners 5

14 Free kicks against 12

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Vitesse 6. · Ajax 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Feyenoord	22	18	3	1	+46	57
2	Ajax	22	16	4	2	+32	52
3	PSV Eindhoven	23	15	7	1	+28	52
4	Twente	23	9	7	7	+2	34
5	AZ Alkmaar	21	8	9	4	+7	33
6	Vitesse	22	9	6	7	+5	33
7	Utrecht	20	9	6	5	+5	33
8	Heerenveen	21	9	5	7	+11	32
9	Heracles	23	7	7	9	-3	28
10	Willem II	23	6	8	9	-8	26
11	Nijmegen	23	6	7	10	-16	25
12	Groningen	21	5	8	8	-3	23
13	Zwolle	23	6	5	12	-22	23
14	Roda	23	3	11	9	-14	20
15	Go Ahead Eagles	23	5	4	14	-16	19
16	Excelsior	23	4	7	12	-19	19
17	Sparta Rotterdam	22	4	6	12	-12	18
18	Den Haag	22	5	2	15	-23	17

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Feyenoord	12	10	2	0	+29	32
2	PSV Eindhoven	12	8	3	1	+12	27
3	Ajax	11	8	2	1	+18	26
4	Twente	12	6	3	3	+5	21
5	Heerenveen	10	5	3	2	+6	18
6	Heracles	12	5	3	4	+5	18
7	Utrecht	10	5	2	3	+4	17
8	Vitesse	11	5	2	4	+2	17
9	Nijmegen	11	4	4	3	+1	16
10	AZ Alkmaar	10	3	5	2	+2	14
11	Willem II	13	3	5	5	-6	14
12	Excelsior	11	3	4	4	-1	13
13	Go Ahead Eagles	11	4	1	6	-3	13
14	Sparta Rotterdam	10	3	3	4	+0	12
15	Zwolle	12	3	3	6	-11	12
16	Roda	12	2	5	5	-4	11
17	Groningen	10	2	5	3	-6	11
18	Den Haag	10	3	1	6	-6	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	11	8	2	1	+14	26
2	Feyenoord	10	8	1	1	+17	25
3	PSV Eindhoven	11	7	4	0	+16	25
4	AZ Alkmaar	11	5	4	2	+5	19
5	Vitesse	11	4	4	3	+3	16
6	Utrecht	10	4	4	2	+1	16
7	Heerenveen	11	4	2	5	+5	14
8	Twente	11	3	4	4	-3	13
9	Groningen	11	3	3	5	+3	12
10	Willem II	10	3	3	4	-2	12
11	Zwolle	11	3	2	6	-11	11
12	Heracles	11	2	4	5	-8	10
13	Roda	11	1	6	4	-10	9
14	Nijmegen	12	2	3	7	-17	9
15	Den Haag	12	2	1	9	-17	7
16	Sparta Rotterdam	12	1	3	8	-12	6
17	Go Ahead Eagles	12	1	3	8	-13	6
18	Excelsior	12	1	3	8	-18	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.