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Bundesliga
Referee: Tobias Stieler
FC Koln
U U S S T
1–1
Full-time
Schalke 04
T S T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

FC Koln Schalke 04
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
33%
17%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,5
1,8
Scored
1,7
1,0
Conceded
0,8
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,2
This season — Bundesliga · 20/20 matches
Win Ø 38%
40%
35%
Points per game
1,6
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 43%
45%
40%
Both score Ø 50%
55%
45%
Average goals
2,4
2,3
Scored
1,5
1,2
Conceded
0,9
1,1
Goal diff per game
+0,6
+0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

49% Possession 51%
9 Shots 12
4 Shots on target 4
1 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 0
7 Offside 1
12 Free kicks against 14
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match FC Koln 7. · Schalke 04 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 21 15 5 1 +33 50
2 RB Leipzig 21 14 3 4 +17 45
3 Dortmund 21 10 7 4 +20 37
4 Hoffenheim 21 9 10 2 +17 37
5 Ein Frankfurt 21 10 5 6 +5 35
6 Hertha 21 10 4 7 +4 34
7 FC Koln 20 8 8 4 +11 32
8 Leverkusen 21 9 3 9 +4 30
9 Freiburg 21 9 3 9 -8 30
10 M'gladbach 21 7 5 9 -6 26
11 Schalke 04 20 7 4 9 +3 25
12 Mainz 21 7 4 10 -8 25
13 Augsburg 21 6 6 9 -8 24
14 Wolfsburg 21 6 4 11 -12 22
15 Hamburg 21 5 5 11 -16 20
16 Werder Bremen 21 5 4 12 -16 19
17 FC Ingolstadt 04 21 5 3 13 -13 18
18 Darmstadt 21 3 3 15 -27 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

FC Koln Schalke 04
2′
A. Schöpf 0–1
D. Caligiuri
Neven Subotić 🟨
21′
1–1 A. Modeste
Y. Ōsako
43′
Half-time 1–1
51′
🟨 Benjamin Stambouli
59′
🟨 Naldo
67′
🔁 M. Meyer
↦ D. Caligiuri
Frederik Sørensen 🟨
72′
S. Zoller 🔁
↦ M. Jojić
75′
78′
🔁 E. Choupo-Moting
↦ G. Burgstaller
81′
🟨 Alessandro Schöpf
92′
🔁 T. Kehrer
↦ N. Bentaleb
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

FC Koln

3-4-1-2
18 T. Kessler G
2 N. Subotić D
34 K. Rausch D
16 P. Olkowski D
14 J. Hector M
4 F. Sørensen D
3 D. Heintz D
6 M. Höger M
8 M. Jojić M
27 A. Modeste F
13 Y. Ōsako F
Bench (7)
11 S. Zoller
5 D. Maroh
17 C. Clemens
20 S. Özcan
24 L. Klünter
30 M. Hartel
35 S. Müller

Coach: P. Stöger

Schalke 04

3-1-4-2
1 R. Fährmann G
29 Naldo D
4 B. Höwedes D
24 H. Badstuber D
6 S. Kolašinac D
18 D. Caligiuri M
17 B. Stambouli D
8 L. Goretzka M
10 N. Bentaleb M
21 A. Schöpf M
19 G. Burgstaller F
Bench (7)
7 M. Meyer
13 E. Choupo-Moting
20 T. Kehrer
5 J. Geis
25 K. Huntelaar
31 M. Nastasić
35 A. Nübel

Coach: M. Weinzierl

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Tobias Stieler · 91 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.