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La Liga
Referee: Ignacio Iglesias Villanueva
Sp Gijon
U U T S S
2–2
Full-time
Betis
S T T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sp Gijon Betis
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,8
2,8
Scored
1,3
1,0
Conceded
1,5
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,8
This season — La Liga · 37/37 matches
Win Ø 23%
19%
27%
Points per game
0,8
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
62%
46%
Both score Ø 60%
68%
51%
Average goals
3,0
2,7
Scored
1,1
1,1
Conceded
1,9
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,6
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

49% Possession 51%
11 Shots 21
5 Shots on target 9
3 Blocked shots 5
7 Goalkeeper saves 3
2 Corners 3
4 Offside 1
15 Free kicks against 14
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sp Gijon 18. · Betis 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Real Madrid 37 28 6 3 +63 90
2 Barcelona 37 27 6 4 +77 87
3 Ath Madrid 37 22 9 6 +41 75
4 Sevilla 37 20 9 8 +15 69
5 Villarreal 37 18 10 9 +21 64
6 Ath Bilbao 37 19 6 12 +12 63
7 Sociedad 37 19 6 12 +6 63
8 Espanol 38 15 11 12 -1 56
9 Eibar 37 15 9 13 +7 54
10 Alaves 37 14 12 11 -2 54
11 Malaga 37 12 10 15 -4 46
12 Valencia 37 13 7 17 -7 46
13 Celta 37 13 5 19 -16 44
14 Las Palmas 37 10 9 18 -18 39
15 Betis 37 10 8 19 -23 38
16 Leganes 37 8 10 19 -19 34
17 La Coruna 37 7 12 18 -21 33
18 Sp Gijon 37 7 9 21 -30 30
19 Osasuna 37 4 10 23 -49 22
20 Granada 38 4 8 26 -52 20

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sp Gijon Betis
1–0 Douglas Pereira
Carlos Carmona
7′
22′
Rubén Castro 1–1
Cejudo
37′
🟨 Álvaro Cejudo
Half-time 1–1
46′
🔁 A. Mandi
↦ G. Pezzella
Isma López 🔁
↦ Burgui
58′
59′
Rubén Castro 1–2
Petros
D. Čop 🔁
↦ Nacho Cases
65′
2–2 Carlos Carmona
79′
80′
🔁 J. Martin
↦ Cejudo
86′
🟨 Riza Durmisi
88′
🔁 Matías Nahuel
↦ Joaquín
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Sp Gijon

4-1-4-1
1 Pichu Cuéllar G
15 Canella D
3 J. Babin D
2 Douglas Pereira D
4 Jorge Meré D
10 Nacho Cases M
6 Sergio Álvarez M
22 Mikel Vesga M
19 Carlos Carmona M
9 Carlos Castro F
14 Burgui M
Bench (7)
18 Isma López
24 D. Čop
5 F. Amorebieta
7 Víctor Rodríguez
13 Diego Mariño
21 Xavi Torres
23 Moi Gómez

Coach: Rubí

Betis

4-2-3-1
1 Dani Giménez
21 A. Toșca D
14 R. Durmisi D
20 G. Pezzella D
2 Rafa Navarro D
17 Joaquín M
16 Cejudo M
5 Petros M
22 D. Brašanac M
10 Dani Ceballos M
24 Rubén Castro F
Bench (7)
23 A. Mandi
8 J. Martin
11 Matías Nahuel
4 Bruno González
15 R. Donk
25 Manu Herrera
28 José Carlos

Coach: Alexis Trujillo

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Ignacio Iglesias Villanueva · 79 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
20,0 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,32 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.