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Ligue 1
Referee: Benoit Millot
Lille
S S T T S
3–0
Full-time
Nantes
S S T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lille Nantes
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 17%
0%
33%
Average goals
2,8
2,8
Scored
1,5
1,5
Conceded
1,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

62% Possession 38%
14 Shots 9
5 Shots on target 4
5 Blocked shots 3
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
15 Corners 3
1 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 17
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

20. May -17 Lille – Nantes 3–0 26. Nov -16 Nantes – Lille 0–0 3. Apr -16 Nantes – Lille 0–3 29. Sep -15 Lille – Nantes 0–1

Match report

Lille Nantes
40′
🟨 Nicolas Pallois
Half-time 0–0
K. N'Guessan 🔁
↦ F. Ballo
46′
1–0 J. Alonso ⚽
48′
58′
🟨 Préjuce Nakoulma
Yassine Benzia 🟨
61′
63′
🔁 A. Thomasson
↦ J. Iloki
2–0 N. de Préville ⚽
67′
3–0 A. El Ghazi ⚽
K. N'Guessan
70′
Anwar El Ghazi 🟨
71′
75′
🟨 Guillaume Gillet
75′
🔁 C. Awaziem
↦ K. Djidji
75′
🔁 G. Gillet
↦ A. Touré
E. Ponce 🔁
↦ N. de Préville
76′
Thiago Maia 🔁
↦ Thiago Mendes
85′
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Lille

5-4-1
16 M. Maignan G
2 K. Malcuit D
15 Edgar Ié D
3 J. Alonso D
23 Thiago Mendes M
6 I. Amadou M
25 F. Ballo D
12 N. de Préville F
10 Y. Benzia M
11 Luiz Araujo M
7 A. El Ghazi M
Bench (7)
29 K. N'Guessan
9 E. Ponce
20 Thiago Maia
19 N. Pépé
33 I. Faraj
21 Y. Bissouma
30 K. Koffi

Coach: M. Bielsa

Nantes

4-4-2
1 M. Dupé G
4 N. Pallois D
5 K. Djidji D
15 L. Dubois D
3 Diego Carlos D
11 A. Kačaniklić M
7 J. Iloki M
19 A. Touré M
28 V. Rongier M
22 P. Nakoulma F
9 E. Sala F
Bench (7)
8 A. Thomasson
12 C. Awaziem
27 G. Gillet
18 M. Stępiński
10 Y. Bammou
16 A. Olliero
33 S. Moutoussamy

Coach: C. Ranieri

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Benoit Millot · 80 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
19,4 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.