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Primeira Liga
Referee: Tiago Martins
Aves
0–2
Full-time
Sp Lisbon
U S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

44% Possession 56%
13 Shots 10
2 Shots on target 7
2 Blocked shots 1
5 Goalkeeper saves 2
6 Corners 3
2 Offside 5
15 Free kicks against 16
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Aves Sp Lisbon
23′
⚽ Gelson Martins 0–1
M. Acuña
Half-time 0–1
61′
🔁 Daniel Podence
↦ Bruno Fernandes
65′
🔁 R. Battaglia
↦ Adrien Silva
Amilton 🔁
↦ Nildo Petrolina
67′
Vitor Gomes 🔁
↦ Washington Santana
71′
75′
⚽ Gelson Martins 0–2
F. Falcone 🔁
↦ Bruno Braga
76′
Carlos Ponck 🟨
90′
93′
🔁 J. Silva
↦ Fábio Coentrão
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Aves

4-4-2
83 Adriano Facchini G
21 Nelson Lenho D
44 Diego Galo D
2 Rodrigo Alves D
19 Bruno Braga M
16 Nildo Petrolina M
8 Washington Santana M
26 Ponck D
29 Claudio Falcão M
77 Salvador Agra M
7 Alexandre Guedes F
Bench (7)
23 Amilton
30 Vitor Gomes
20 F. Falcone
17 Pedrinho
22 Sami
5 Rodrigo Defendi
1 Quim

Coach: Ricardo Soares

Sp Lisbon

4-2-3-1
1 Rui Patrício G
22 J. Mathieu D
5 Fábio Coentrão D
4 S. Coates D
92 C. Piccini D
23 Adrien Silva M
14 William Carvalho M
8 Bruno Fernandes M
28 B. Dost F
9 M. Acuña M
77 Gelson Martins M
Bench (7)
17 Daniel Podence
16 R. Battaglia
3 J. Silva
55 Tobias Figueiredo
18 R. Salin
11 Bruno César
88 S. Doumbia

Coach: Jorge Jesus

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

No matches played yet.

Referee

Tiago Martins · 155 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,8 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
25,2 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,47 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.