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Eliteserien
Referee: Dag Vidar Hafsaas
Stabaek
T T S S U
1–3
Full-time
Sandefjord
S U T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Stabaek Sandefjord
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
4,2
3,3
Scored
1,5
1,5
Conceded
2,7
1,8
Goal diff per game
-1,2
-0,3
This season — Eliteserien · 17/17 matches
Win Ø 38%
41%
35%
Points per game
1,5
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 62%
71%
53%
Both score Ø 50%
59%
41%
Average goals
3,3
2,9
Scored
1,5
1,2
Conceded
1,8
1,6
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

61% Possession 39%
14 Shots 10
5 Shots on target 5
4 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
8 Corners 3
2 Offside 4
6 Free kicks against 5
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Stabaek 6. · Sandefjord 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rosenborg 18 11 5 2 +23 38
2 Sarpsborg 08 17 8 6 3 +11 30
3 Molde 17 8 4 5 +9 28
4 Brann 17 7 6 4 +16 27
5 Haugesund 16 7 4 5 +3 25
6 Stabaek 17 7 4 6 -4 25
7 Valerenga 16 6 5 5 +1 23
8 Aalesund 17 6 4 7 +0 22
9 Lillestrom 17 6 4 7 -1 22
10 Odd 16 6 4 6 -6 22
11 Sandefjord 17 6 3 8 -7 21
12 Sogndal 17 5 5 7 -6 20
13 Stromsgodset 17 4 7 6 -5 19
14 Kristiansund 18 4 6 8 -9 18
15 Tromso 16 3 5 8 -14 14
16 Viking 17 3 4 10 -11 13

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Stabaek Sandefjord
16′
F. Kastrati 0–1
Pau Morer
John Hou Sæter 🟨
45′
Half-time 0–1
A. El Amrani 🔁
↦ J. Moe
63′
D. Granli 🔁
↦ R. Gyasi
65′
68′
🟨 Crescendo van Berkel
69′
🔁 Facundo Rodríguez
↦ F. Kastrati
S. Mauritz-Hansen 🔁
↦ J. Sæter
74′
74′
J. Solberg 0–2
78′
🔁 L. Grorud
↦ C. van Berkel
79′
🔁 C. Grossmüller
↦ Pau Morer
1–2 H. Skogseid
L. Kassi
83′
93′
Facundo Rodríguez 1–3
C. Grossmüller
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Stabaek

4-2-3-1
1 M. Sayouba G
6 H. Skogseid D
3 M. Skjønsberg D
16 A. Hanche-Olsen D
18 J. Moe D
89 T. Brochmann M
67 T. Lumanza M
28 L. Kassi M
8 J. Sæter M
99 O. Omoijuanfo F
7 R. Gyasi M
Bench (7)
17 A. El Amrani
21 D. Granli
9 S. Mauritz-Hansen
23 E. Bohinen
79 S. Pedersen
22 G. Singh
30 O. Brynhildsen

Coach: Toni Ordinas

Sandefjord

3-4-3
1 I. Jónsson G
17 J. Solberg M
19 V. Bindia D
14 C. van Berkel D
4 C. Reppesgård
3 A. Seck D
15 Enric Vallès M
9 H. Storbæk M
22 A. Sødlund M
6 Pau Morer M
11 F. Kastrati F
Bench (7)
7 Facundo Rodríguez
2 L. Grorud
10 C. Grossmüller
12 Ø. Øvretveit
18 W. Kurtovic
8 E. Mjelde
16 E. Kane

Coach: L. Bohinen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Dag Vidar Hafsaas · 79 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,5 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,06 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.