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OBOS-ligaen
Jerv
U S S T S
2–0
Full-time
Fredrikstad
U U S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Jerv Fredrikstad
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
3,5
3,0
Scored
2,0
1,7
Conceded
1,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,3
This season — OBOS-ligaen · 17/17 matches
Win Ø 18%
24%
12%
Points per game
1,1
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
53%
47%
Both score Ø 71%
65%
76%
Average goals
3,0
2,7
Scored
1,5
1,1
Conceded
1,5
1,6
Goal diff per game
-0,1
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Jerv 12. · Fredrikstad 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bodo/Glimt 17 12 3 2 +17 39
2 Start 18 10 4 4 +14 34
3 Sandnes ULF 18 9 5 4 +5 32
4 Ranheim 17 9 5 3 +5 32
5 Floro 17 7 4 6 +5 25
6 Ull/Kisa 17 7 3 7 -3 24
7 Tromsdalen Uil 17 6 5 6 -1 23
8 Strommen 17 6 5 6 -3 23
9 Levanger 17 5 7 5 +6 22
10 Asane 17 5 7 5 -4 22
11 Mjondalen 17 4 7 6 +2 19
12 Jerv 17 4 7 6 -1 19
13 Kongsvinger 17 4 5 8 -3 17
14 Fredrikstad 17 2 8 7 -8 14
15 Elverum 17 2 7 8 -17 13
16 Arendal 17 2 4 11 -14 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Jerv Fredrikstad
1–0 B. Akintola
30′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 R. Lekaj
↦ J. Buduson
E. Haugstad 🔁
↦ A. Hagen
68′
76′
🔁 S. Kapidzic
↦ H. Furebotn
Idelino 🔁
↦ B. Wembangomo
78′
2–0 B. Akintola
83′
84′
🔁 L. Begby
↦ Alexander Henningsson
C. MacConnacher 🔁
↦ M. Wichmann
90′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Jerv

1 Ø. Knutsen
2 G. Andersen
5 N. Andersen
3 B. Wembangomo
19 K. Tønnessen
10 E. Danso
6 M. Wichmann
23 A. Hagen
25 M. Ogungbaro
7 U. Berglann
13 B. Akintola
Bench (7)
9 E. Haugstad
45 Idelino
8 C. MacConnacher
12 S. Christensen
14 V. Somdal
15 H. Hovstad
20 J. Toft

Coach: A. Sandstø

Fredrikstad

1 H. Jensen
4 M. Leko
22 A. Akinyemi
19 H. Bredeli
21 H. Furebotn
14 Alexander Henningsson
6 P. Karoliussen
7 J. Veteli
16 F. Westgård
9 U. Flo
11 J. Buduson
Bench (7)
17 R. Lekaj
10 S. Kapidzic
18 L. Begby
3 J. Lahdenmäki
20 H. Åsheim
25 J. Masalin
28 R. Nuhu

Coach: A. Loberto

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.