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Primeira Liga
Referee: Goncalo Martins
Vitoria Setubal
T T T T S
1–1
Full-time
Moreirense
U U S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Vitoria Setubal Moreirense
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,5
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,5
2,3
Scored
0,5
1,5
Conceded
2,0
0,8
Goal diff per game
-1,5
+0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

48% Possession 52%
7 Shots 12
3 Shots on target 4
1 Blocked shots 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 8
0 Offside 2
19 Free kicks against 22
1 Yellow cards 3
1 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

2. Apr -17 Vitoria Setubal – Moreirense 2–0 6. Nov -16 Moreirense – Vitoria Setubal 1–2 6. Mar -16 Vitoria Setubal – Moreirense 0–1 25. Oct -15 Moreirense – Vitoria Setubal 0–2

Match report

Vitoria Setubal Moreirense
1–0 Edinho ⚽
João Amaral
13′
36′
🔁 J. Cádiz
↦ Ença Fati
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 R. Peña
↦ Bruno Ramires
47′
🟨 Rafael Costa
56′
🟨 Koffi Kouao
68′
🔁 Alan Schons
↦ K. Kouao
Vasco Fernandes 🟥
71′
Costinha 🟨
73′
Pedro Pinto 🔁
↦ Willyan
75′
André Pedrosa 🔁
↦ João Amaral
79′
Gonçalo Paciência 🔁
↦ Edinho
80′
83′
⚽ R. Peña 1–1
86′
🟨 Arsenio Nunes
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Vitoria Setubal

4-3-3
88 Pedro Trigueira G
13 Vasco Fernandes D
21 Nuno Pinto D
3 Frederico Venâncio D
6 Tomás Podstawski M
10 João Teixeira M
36 Edinho F
11 Costinha M
28 Willyan M
7 A. Issoko D
24 João Amaral M
Bench (7)
14 Pedro Pinto
27 André Pedrosa
9 Gonçalo Paciência
23 Vasco Costa
8 Nenê Bonilha
17 Rafinha
1 Cristiano

Coach: José Couceiro

Moreirense

4-2-3-1
18 Jhonatan G
5 Ruben Lima D
3 André Micael D
6 M. Aberhoune D
22 K. Kouao D
23 Rafael Costa M
57 Bruno Ramires M
90 Alfa Semedo M
77 Arsénio M
29 E. Boateng F
17 Ença Fati M
Bench (7)
88 J. Cádiz
70 R. Peña
8 Alan Schons
31 Victor Hugo
28 Elsinho
33 João Sousa
95 P. Sagna

Coach: Manuel Machado

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Goncalo Martins · 15 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
34,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,33 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.