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Ligue 1
Referee: Karim Abed
St Etienne
T S S S T
1–1
Full-time
Angers
S U S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St Etienne Angers
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,5
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
50%
17%
Both score Ø 34%
17%
50%
Average goals
2,3
2,3
Scored
1,0
1,7
Conceded
1,3
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+1,0
This season — Ligue 1 · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 50%
75%
25%
Points per game
2,3
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 38%
50%
25%
Both score Ø 38%
0%
75%
Average goals
2,0
2,5
Scored
1,3
1,5
Conceded
0,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

53% Possession 47%
8 Shots 15
4 Shots on target 6
1 Blocked shots 2
5 Goalkeeper saves 3
1 Corners 3
2 Offside 1
9 Free kicks against 19
3 Yellow cards 2
1 Red cards 1
The table before the match St Etienne 4. · Angers 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 5 5 0 0 +16 15
2 Monaco 5 4 0 1 +6 12
3 Bordeaux 5 2 3 0 +3 9
4 St Etienne 4 3 0 1 +2 9
5 Caen 5 3 0 2 +2 9
6 Lyon 4 2 2 0 +5 8
7 Marseille 4 2 1 1 -1 7
8 Nantes 5 2 1 2 -2 7
9 Toulouse 5 2 1 2 -3 7
10 Angers 4 1 3 0 +2 6
11 Nice 5 2 0 3 +1 6
12 Guingamp 4 2 0 2 -1 6
13 Amiens 5 2 0 3 -3 6
14 Troyes 5 1 2 2 -1 5
15 Lille 5 1 2 2 -2 5
16 Montpellier 5 1 1 3 -2 4
17 Strasbourg 5 1 1 3 -4 4
18 Dijon 5 1 1 3 -6 4
19 Rennes 4 0 2 2 -2 2
20 Metz 5 0 0 5 -10 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

St Etienne Angers
1–0 R. Cabella
V. Pajot
1′
5′
🟨 Baptiste Santamaria
Ronaël Pierre-Gabriel 🟨
8′
9′
T. Mangani 1–1
11′
🟨 Yoann Andreu
Vincent Pajot 🟨
34′
Half-time 1–1
J. Bamba 🔁
↦ R. Hamouma
46′
Vincent Pajot 🟥
49′
H. Maïga 🔁
↦ L. Diony
51′
Bryan Dabo 🟨
62′
66′
🔁 L. Coulibaly
↦ K. Toko Ekambi
73′
🔁 B. Guillaume
↦ A. Fulgini
83′
🟥 Enzo Crivelli
85′
🔁 M. Tahrat
↦ B. Santamaría
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

St Etienne

4-3-3
16 S. Ruffier G
24 L. Perrin D
4 L. Lacroix D
15 S. Janko D
29 R. Pierre-Gabriel D
21 R. Hamouma M
10 R. Cabella M
7 B. Dabo M
5 V. Pajot M
8 A. Dioussé M
9 L. Diony F
Bench (7)
14 J. Bamba
13 H. Maïga
3 A. Katranis
12 C. M'Bengue
17 O. Selnæs
20 Hernani
30 J. Moulin

Coach: Óscar García

Angers

4-1-4-1
30 A. Letellier G
24 R. Thomas D
8 I. Traoré D
3 Y. Andreu D
25 A. Bamba D
5 T. Mangani M
15 P. Capelle M
23 A. Fulgini M
18 B. Santamaría M
7 K. Toko Ekambi F
9 E. Crivelli F
Bench (7)
12 L. Coulibaly
19 B. Guillaume
26 M. Tahrat
4 M. Pavlović
10 G. Sunu
16 M. Michel
20 F. Tait

Coach: S. Moulin

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Karim Abed · 51 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,31 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.