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Ligue 1
Referee: Johan Hamel
Amiens
T T T
3–0
Full-time
Nice
T U T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Amiens Nice
Last 6 — all competitions · 3/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
0%
17%
Points per game
0,0
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 25%
0%
50%
Average goals
2,3
2,8
Scored
0,0
1,2
Conceded
2,3
1,7
Goal diff per game
-2,3
-0,5
This season — Ligue 1 · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
0,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 17%
0%
33%
Average goals
2,3
2,0
Scored
0,0
1,0
Conceded
2,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
-2,3
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

34% Possession 66%
12 Shots 12
4 Shots on target 3
1 Blocked shots 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
3 Corners 4
2 Offside 2
14 Free kicks against 7
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Amiens 20. · Nice 12. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 4 4 0 0 +12 12
2 Monaco 3 3 0 0 +5 9
3 St Etienne 4 3 0 1 +2 9
4 Lyon 4 2 2 0 +5 8
5 Marseille 3 2 1 0 +4 7
6 Bordeaux 3 1 2 0 +2 5
7 Angers 3 1 2 0 +2 5
8 Troyes 3 1 1 1 +0 4
9 Montpellier 3 1 1 1 +0 4
10 Strasbourg 3 1 1 1 -1 4
11 Nantes 4 1 1 2 -3 4
12 Nice 3 1 0 2 +0 3
13 Caen 3 1 0 2 +0 3
14 Lille 3 1 0 2 -2 3
15 Guingamp 3 1 0 2 -3 3
16 Toulouse 3 1 0 2 -4 3
17 Rennes 3 0 2 1 -1 2
18 Dijon 3 0 1 2 -6 1
19 Metz 3 0 0 3 -5 0
20 Amiens 3 0 0 3 -7 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Amiens Nice
1–0 G. Kakuta ⚽
15′
2–0 M. Konaté ⚽
E. Bourgaud
28′
Julien Ielsch 🟨
42′
Half-time 2–0
46′
🔁 A. Saint-Maximin
↦ A. Tameze
46′
🔁 M. Sarr
↦ M. Le Marchand
48′
🟨 Alassane Pléa
54′
🟨 Yoan Cardinale
Thomas Monconduit 🟨
57′
67′
🟨 Malang Sarr
H. Manzala 🔁
↦ J. Ielsch
73′
73′
🔁 B. Srarfi
↦ C. Jallet
I. Cissokho 🔁
↦ E. Bourgaud
81′
G. N'Gosso 🔁
↦ G. Kakuta
85′
3–0 M. Konaté ⚽
H. Manzala
88′
Bakaye Dibassy 🟨
90′
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Amiens

4-4-1-1
1 R. Gurtner G
3 K. Adénon D
23 J. Ielsch M
2 P. Gouano D
19 O. El Hajjam D
12 B. Dibassy D
10 E. Bourgaud M
6 T. Monconduit M
22 T. NDombèlé M
14 G. Kakuta M
15 M. Konaté F
Bench (7)
7 H. Manzala
25 I. Cissokho
26 G. N'Gosso
11 J. Dompé
16 J. Bouet
21 C. Charrier
29 S. Koita

Coach: C. Pélissier

Nice

4-2-3-1
30 Y. Cardinale G
24 C. Jallet D
31 Dante D
20 M. Le Marchand D
2 A. Souquet D
10 W. Sneijder M
5 A. Tameze M
18 R. Walter M
8 P. Lees Melou M
26 V. Koziello M
14 A. Pléa F
Bench (7)
7 A. Saint-Maximin
23 M. Sarr
11 B. Srarfi
15 P. Burner
27 J. Makengo
33 I. Ganago
40 W. Benítez

Coach: L. Favre

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Johan Hamel · 65 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
19,0 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,34 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.