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Ligue 1
Referee: Nicolas Rainville
Rennes
U T U T S
0–1
Full-time
Nice
T T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rennes Nice
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,8
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
100%
33%
Average goals
3,8
3,2
Scored
1,8
1,7
Conceded
2,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,2
This season — Ligue 1 · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 30%
20%
40%
Points per game
1,0
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 70%
80%
60%
Both score Ø 60%
100%
20%
Average goals
3,6
2,6
Scored
1,8
1,4
Conceded
1,8
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

49% Possession 51%
17 Shots 6
4 Shots on target 3
5 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
6 Corners 5
0 Offside 4
17 Free kicks against 17
1 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Rennes 15. · Nice 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 5 5 0 0 +16 15
2 Monaco 6 5 0 1 +9 15
3 St Etienne 6 4 1 1 +3 13
4 Bordeaux 6 3 3 0 +4 12
5 Lyon 5 3 2 0 +6 11
6 Marseille 6 3 1 2 -1 10
7 Nantes 6 3 1 2 -1 10
8 Caen 6 3 0 3 +1 9
9 Guingamp 6 3 0 3 -1 9
10 Angers 5 1 4 0 +2 7
11 Montpellier 6 2 1 3 -1 7
12 Toulouse 6 2 1 3 -4 7
13 Nice 5 2 0 3 +1 6
14 Amiens 6 2 0 4 -5 6
15 Rennes 5 1 2 2 +0 5
16 Troyes 6 1 2 3 -2 5
17 Lille 6 1 2 3 -3 5
18 Dijon 6 1 1 4 -7 4
19 Strasbourg 6 1 1 4 -7 4
20 Metz 5 0 0 5 -10 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Rennes Nice
Sanjin Prcić 🟨
35′
45′
🟨 Allan Saint-Maximin
Half-time 0–0
49′
🟨 Christophe Jallet
N. Mubele 🔁
↦ W. Khazri
60′
69′
🟨 Jean-Michaël Seri
71′
🔁 N. Mendy
↦ J. Seri
F. Maouassa 🔁
↦ M. Amalfitano
77′
79′
M. Balotelli 0–1
A. Pléa
83′
🔁 I. Ganago
↦ M. Balotelli
85′
🟨 Pierre Lees Melou
J. Lea Siliki 🔁
↦ B. André
86′
90′
🟨 Arnaud Souquet
91′
🔁 R. Walter
↦ A. Saint-Maximin
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Rennes

4-4-1-1
40 T. Koubek G
24 Ludovic Baal D
27 H. Traoré D
15 R. Bensebaini D
5 J. Gnagnon D
18 M. Amalfitano M
21 B. André M
10 S. Prcić M
14 B. Bourigeaud M
8 W. Khazri F
7 I. Sarr M
Bench (7)
9 N. Mubele
17 F. Maouassa
12 J. Lea Siliki
20 G. Nyamsi
25 Afonso Figueiredo
29 R. Danzé
30 E. Gertmonas

Coach: C. Gourcuff

Nice

4-2-2-2
30 Y. Cardinale G
24 C. Jallet D
31 Dante D
2 A. Souquet D
4 Marlon D
6 J. Seri M
7 A. Saint-Maximin F
8 P. Lees Melou M
26 V. Koziello M
9 M. Balotelli F
14 A. Pléa F
Bench (7)
21 N. Mendy
33 I. Ganago
18 R. Walter
20 M. Le Marchand
22 A. Lusamba
23 M. Sarr
40 W. Benítez

Coach: L. Favre

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Nicolas Rainville · 47 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
15,3 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,34 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.