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Ligue 1
Referee: Ruddy Buquet
Marseille
S U S U S
4–0
Full-time
Toulouse
U T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Marseille Toulouse
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,3
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 84%
100%
67%
Average goals
4,2
3,2
Scored
2,7
1,5
Conceded
1,5
1,7
Goal diff per game
+1,2
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

60% Possession 40%
23 Shots 5
10 Shots on target 1
4 Blocked shots 0
1 Goalkeeper saves 6
5 Corners 1
1 Offside 1
7 Free kicks against 20
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

11. Mar -18 Toulouse – Marseille 1–2 24. Sep -17 Marseille – Toulouse 2–0 9. Apr -17 Toulouse – Marseille 0–0 14. Aug -16 Marseille – Toulouse 0–0 6. Mar -16 Marseille – Toulouse 1–1

Match report

Marseille Toulouse
11′
🟨 Christopher Jullien
44′
🟨 Kelvin Amian
1–0 D. Payet ⚽
45′
Half-time 1–0
Jordan Amavi 🟨
46′
55′
🟨 Ibrahim Sangaré
B. Sarr 🔁
↦ C. NJie
56′
2–0 D. Payet ⚽
62′
65′
🔁 Y. Sanogo
↦ Manu García
65′
🔁 C. Jean
↦ M. Dossevi
G. Sertic 🔁
↦ M. Lopez
77′
F. Thauvin 🔁
↦ D. Payet
83′
3–0 V. Germain ⚽
M. Sanson
89′
4–0 F. Thauvin ⚽
J. Amavi
92′
Full-time 4–0

Line-ups

Marseille

4-2-3-1
16 Y. Pelé G
2 H. Sakai D
18 J. Amavi D
4 B. Kamara D
10 D. Payet M
19 Luiz Gustavo M
5 L. Ocampos M
8 M. Sanson M
27 M. Lopez M
28 V. Germain F
14 C. N'Jie F
Bench (7)
17 B. Sarr
22 G. Sertic
26 F. Thauvin
25 T. Hubočan
24 S. Khaoui
11 K. Mitroglou
40 F. Escales

Coach: R. Garcia

Toulouse

4-2-3-1
30 B. Reynet G
29 F. Moubandje D
6 C. Jullien D
13 C. Michelin D
2 K. Amian D
14 M. Dossevi M
15 J. Bostock M
22 Manu García M
17 I. Sangaré M
7 M. Gradel M
10 A. Leya F
Bench (7)
9 Y. Sanogo
8 C. Jean
12 Issiaga Sylla
4 Y. Cahuzac
1 M. Goicoechea
33 J. Todibo
18 Steven Fortès

Coach: A. Casanova

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Ruddy Buquet · 80 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
20,2 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,29 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.