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Ligue 1
Referee: F Schneider
Guingamp
T T T T T
1–3
Full-time
Bordeaux
T T S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Guingamp Bordeaux
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
0,0
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
100%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,3
3,3
Scored
0,7
1,7
Conceded
2,7
1,7
Goal diff per game
-2,0
+0,0
This season — Ligue 1 · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 10%
0%
20%
Points per game
0,0
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 80%
100%
60%
Both score Ø 60%
60%
60%
Average goals
3,4
3,2
Scored
0,6
1,2
Conceded
2,8
2,0
Goal diff per game
-2,2
-0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

44% Possession 56%
18 Shots 11
5 Shots on target 6
3 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
6 Corners 4
1 Offside 1
14 Free kicks against 17
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Guingamp 20. · Bordeaux 19.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 6 6 0 0 +15 18
2 Lille 6 4 1 1 +6 13
3 Montpellier 6 3 2 1 +2 11
4 Toulouse 6 3 2 1 -1 11
5 Marseille 5 3 1 1 +7 10
6 Dijon 6 3 1 2 +3 10
7 St Etienne 6 2 3 1 -2 9
8 Strasbourg 6 2 2 2 +1 8
9 Nimes 6 2 2 2 +0 8
10 Reims 6 2 2 2 -2 8
11 Lyon 5 2 1 2 +2 7
12 Angers 6 2 1 3 -1 7
13 Rennes 6 2 1 3 -2 7
14 Nice 6 2 1 3 -4 7
15 Monaco 6 1 3 2 +0 6
16 Caen 6 1 3 2 -2 6
17 Nantes 6 1 2 3 -4 5
18 Amiens 6 1 1 4 -3 4
19 Bordeaux 5 1 1 3 -4 4
20 Guingamp 5 0 0 5 -11 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Guingamp Bordeaux
18′
🟨 Younousse Sankharé
Half-time 0–1
53′
F. Kamano 0–1
Y. Sankharé
Lebogang Phiri 🟨
56′
58′
🟨 Lukas Lerager
N. Benezet 🔁
↦ L. Phiri
59′
67′
🟨 Youssouf Sabaly
68′
🟨 Pablo Nascimento Castro
1–1 M. Thuram
70′
76′
🔁 Y. Karamoh
↦ S. Kalu
N. Julan 🔁
↦ N. Roux
77′
80′
Y. Karamoh 1–2
A. Cornelius
Y. N'Gbakoto 🔁
↦ M. Coco
84′
90′
🔁 N. de Préville
↦ F. Kamano
95′
N. de Préville 1–3
J. Koundé
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Guingamp

4-3-3
1 K. Johnsson G
15 J. Sorbon D
29 C. Kerbrat D
2 J. Ikoko D
5 Pedro Rebocho D
22 É. Didot M
18 G. Fofana M
6 L. Phiri M
24 M. Coco M
26 N. Roux F
11 M. Thuram F
Bench (7)
10 N. Benezet
14 N. Julan
12 Y. N'Gbakoto
8 L. Deaux
16 M. Caillard
20 F. Eboa Eboa
27 F. Tabanou

Coach: A. Kombouare

Bordeaux

4-3-3
1 B. Costil G
25 Pablo D
20 Y. Sabaly D
3 Sergi Palencia D
5 Otávio M
4 J. Koundé D
13 Y. Sankharé M
19 L. Lerager M
9 A. Cornelius F
11 F. Kamano F
10 S. Kalu F
Bench (7)
8 Y. Karamoh
12 N. de Préville
14 V. Jovanović
16 G. Poussin
17 A. Tchouaméni
26 T. Bašić
29 M. Poundjé

Coach: É. Bedouet

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

F Schneider · 47 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,8 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.