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Ligue 1

Referee: J Brisard

Nimes

S S T

2–4

Full-time

Paris SG

T U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nimes Paris SG

Last 6 — all competitions · 3/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

67%

50%

Points per game

2,0

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

4,0

2,8

Scored

2,3

1,8

Conceded

1,7

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,7

+0,8

This season — Ligue 1 · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 84%

67%

100%

Points per game

2,0

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 84%

67%

100%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

4,0

3,7

Scored

2,3

3,0

Conceded

1,7

0,7

Goal diff per game

+0,7

+2,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

38% Possession 62%

14 Shots 7

6 Shots on target 5

3 Blocked shots 1

1 Goalkeeper saves 4

3 Corners 4

1 Offside 2

12 Free kicks against 11

1 Yellow cards 3

1 Red cards 1

The table before the match Nimes 4. · Paris SG 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	3	3	0	0	+7	9
2	Dijon	3	3	0	0	+7	9
3	Lille	3	2	1	0	+5	7
4	Nimes	3	2	0	1	+2	6
5	Lyon	4	2	0	2	+2	6
6	Reims	3	2	0	1	-1	6
7	Toulouse	3	2	0	1	-2	6
8	St Etienne	3	1	2	0	+1	5
9	Marseille	3	1	1	1	+2	4
10	Monaco	3	1	1	1	+1	4
11	Strasbourg	3	1	1	1	+0	4
12	Montpellier	3	1	1	1	+0	4
13	Rennes	3	1	1	1	-1	4
14	Nice	4	1	1	2	-4	4
15	Amiens	3	1	0	2	+0	3
16	Bordeaux	3	1	0	2	-2	3
17	Caen	3	0	2	1	-3	2
18	Nantes	3	0	1	2	-4	1
19	Angers	3	0	0	3	-4	0
20	Guingamp	3	0	0	3	-6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lille	2	2	0	0	+5	6
2	Paris SG	2	2	0	0	+5	6
3	Lyon	3	2	0	1	+3	6
4	Toulouse	2	2	0	0	+2	6
5	Marseille	2	1	1	0	+4	4
6	Amiens	2	1	0	1	+2	3
7	Nimes	1	1	0	0	+2	3
8	Dijon	1	1	0	0	+2	3
9	St Etienne	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Reims	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Rennes	1	1	0	0	+1	3
12	Bordeaux	2	1	0	1	-1	3
13	Strasbourg	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Caen	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Monaco	1	0	1	0	+0	1
16	Montpellier	2	0	1	1	-1	1
17	Nantes	2	0	1	1	-2	1
18	Angers	1	0	0	1	-1	0
19	Guingamp	1	0	0	1	-2	0
20	Nice	2	0	0	2	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Dijon	2	2	0	0	+5	6
2	Nice	2	1	1	0	+1	4
3	Paris SG	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Monaco	2	1	0	1	+1	3
5	Montpellier	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Nimes	2	1	0	1	+0	3
7	Strasbourg	2	1	0	1	+0	3
8	Reims	2	1	0	1	-2	3
9	St Etienne	2	0	2	0	+0	2
10	Lille	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Rennes	2	0	1	1	-2	1
12	Caen	2	0	1	1	-3	1
13	Bordeaux	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Lyon	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Marseille	1	0	0	1	-2	0
16	Amiens	1	0	0	1	-2	0
17	Nantes	1	0	0	1	-2	0
18	Angers	2	0	0	2	-3	0
19	Guingamp	2	0	0	2	-4	0
20	Toulouse	1	0	0	1	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.