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Ligue 1

Referee: C Turpin

Guingamp

U T U T T

1–3

Full-time

Paris SG

U U T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Guingamp Paris SG

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

0,8

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

100%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

100%

33%

Average goals

4,0

2,3

Scored

1,8

1,3

Conceded

2,2

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,3

This season — Ligue 1 · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 50%

100%

Points per game

0,0

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 100%

100%

Both score Ø 50%

100%

Average goals

3,0

Scored

1,0

3,0

Conceded

2,0

0,0

Goal diff per game

-1,0

+3,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

34% Possession 66%

11 Shots 17

3 Shots on target 7

4 Blocked shots 3

3 Goalkeeper saves 2

4 Corners 7

2 Offside 1

15 Free kicks against 16

0 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Guingamp 12. · Paris SG 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	T	+/−	P
1	Reims	2	2	0	+2	6
2	Marseille	1	1	0	+4	3
3	Paris SG	1	1	0	+3	3
4	Lille	1	1	0	+2	3
5	Monaco	1	1	0	+2	3
6	Strasbourg	1	1	0	+2	3
7	Nimes	1	1	0	+1	3
8	Lyon	2	1	1	+1	3
9	St Etienne	1	1	0	+1	3
10	Dijon	1	1	0	+1	3
11	Angers	1	0	1	-1	0
12	Guingamp	1	0	1	-1	0
13	Montpellier	1	0	1	-1	0
14	Nice	1	0	1	-1	0
15	Rennes	1	0	1	-2	0
16	Nantes	1	0	1	-2	0
17	Amiens	1	0	1	-2	0
18	Bordeaux	1	0	1	-2	0
19	Caen	1	0	1	-3	0
20	Toulouse	1	0	1	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	T	+/−	P
1	Marseille	1	1	0	+4	3
2	Paris SG	1	1	0	+3	3
3	Lille	1	1	0	+2	3
4	Lyon	1	1	0	+2	3
5	St Etienne	1	1	0	+1	3
6	Reims	1	1	0	+1	3
7	Angers	1	0	1	-1	0
8	Montpellier	1	0	1	-1	0
9	Nice	1	0	1	-1	0
10	Nantes	1	0	1	-2	0
11	Bordeaux	1	0	1	-2	0

#	Team	K	V	T	+/−	P
1	Monaco	1	1	0	+2	3
2	Strasbourg	1	1	0	+2	3
3	Nimes	1	1	0	+1	3
4	Dijon	1	1	0	+1	3
5	Reims	1	1	0	+1	3
6	Guingamp	1	0	1	-1	0
7	Lyon	1	0	1	-1	0
8	Rennes	1	0	1	-2	0
9	Amiens	1	0	1	-2	0
10	Caen	1	0	1	-3	0
11	Toulouse	1	0	1	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.